Predictably, the MSM has made the attempt to turn Hurricane Irene into the poster child for
AGW The Big Lie. Of course, their statements are riddled with unreality. Here is some footage via News Busters…
Here is a quote from the transcript…
BILL MCKIBBEN, environmental activist: It’s easy to despair. It’s easy to despair today watching Irene come up the coast. It’s going to come over the warmest water that’s ever been recorded off the shores of New Jersey and New York. I mean, Irene’s middle name is global warming.
OK, I did, if anything, “hype” Irene. Then again, our friend Wyblog doubted Irene, and he suffered accordingly. But, I think the real story about Irene was twofold; the East Coast had not had a hit like this for an long time, and that it had rained extensively in the Northeast for the week prior. The ground was already saturated, so anything that Irene brought would immediately run off, causing flooding. That was proven to be correct. However, McKibben is off the rails for one reason; if the mighty and totally REAL
Global Warming Big Lie was Irene’s “middle name,” how come it was just a Category One Storm? Shouldn’t it have eaten NYC like Godzilla with a bad case of the munchies? I mean, it went over the “OMG warmest water evah!” Or something like that.
Now, I would be leaving something out if I did not review some previous “expert” statements regarding hurricanes. Take a look at this…
So, we were going to have more, and more severe hurricanes? Let’s take a look at what really happened…
Defying predictions, the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season ended with a whimper rather than a bang on Thursday, without a single hurricane hitting U.S. shores.
I guess “unexpected” results aren’t limited to lefty economists!
(CBS/AP) The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season should be “very active,” with nine hurricanes and a good chance that at least one major hurricane will hit the U.S. coast, a top researcher said Tuesday.
Forecaster William Gray of Colorado State University said he expects 17 named storms in all this year, five of them major hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater. The probability of a major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. coast this year is 74 percent, he said.
The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season was certainly an interesting one. It was at once both record-breaking and average. Two hurricanes made landfall as Category 5 storms, albeit in Central America, and records were set for rapid intensification. Yet in the end, by several measures, including landfalls and insured losses, 2007 was an average or below-average hurricane year.
Oops! More unexpected?
A total of 16 named storms formed this season, based on an operational estimate by NOAA’s National Hurricane Center. The storms included eight hurricanes, five of which were major hurricanes at Category 3 strength or higher. These numbers fall within the ranges predicted in NOAA’s pre- and mid-season outlooks issued in May and August. The August outlook called for 14 to 18 named storms, seven to 10 hurricanes and three to six major hurricanes. An average season has 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes.
“This year’s hurricane season continues the current active hurricane era and is the tenth season to produce above-normal activity in the past 14 years,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
They had a good year, and conveniently forgot the prior two.
Next year is predicted to bring 14 named storms to the Atlantic Ocean, with seven of them becoming hurricanes, according to a university report that forecasts an “above average” 2009 hurricane season.
The annual report was released Wednesday by Colorado State University forecasters Philip Klotzback and William Gray — six months before the Atlantic hurricane season starts.
As the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season comes to an end November 30, it will be remembered as one of the quietest in almost two decades, meteorologists say.
I covered the before…
Well, we’ll have to be prepared for more spin for the summer, as Accuweather just released their Hurricane forcast for 2010.
AccuWeather.com Hurricane Center meteorologists, led by Chief Long-Range Meteorologist and Hurricane Forecaster Joe Bastardi, have released their early hurricane season forecast for the Atlantic Basin for 2010.
The forecast is calling for a much more active 2010 season with above-normal threats on the U.S. coastline.
“This year has the chance to be an extreme season,” said Bastardi. “It is certainly much more like 2008 than 2009 as far as the overall threat to the United States’ East and Gulf coasts.”
Bastardi is forecasting seven landfalls. Five will be hurricanes and two or three of the hurricanes will be major landfalls for the U.S.
He is calling for 16 to 18 tropical storms in total, 15 of which would be in the western Atlantic or Gulf of Mexico and therefore a threat to land.
In a typical season, there are about 11 named storms of which two to three impact the coast of the United States.
There are a number of physical drivers that have Bastardi concerned for this upcoming hurricane season. These include:
-The rapidly weakening El Niño
-Warmer ocean temperatures in the typical Atlantic tropical breeding grounds compared to last year. (Tropical storms draw energy from warm water.)
-Weakening trade winds which reduce the amount of dry air injected into the tropics from Africa
-Higher humidity levels which provides additional upward motion in the air and fuels tropical storm development
WAIT! There’s something missing here. Where’s AGW listed as a cause? The answer is nowhere. Why? Because there is no AGW, and it’s not part of the equation.
According to NOAA the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, which ends tomorrow, was one of the busiest on record. In contrast, the eastern North Pacific season had the fewest storms on record since the satellite era began.
In the Atlantic Basin a total of 19 named storms formed – tied with 1887 and 1995 for third highest on record. Of those, 12 became hurricanes – tied with 1969 for second highest on record. Five of those reached major hurricane status of Category 3 or higher.
OK, most of the years after Katrina were pretty “ho-hum.” Two were above normal, and at least one had causes completely disconnected from The Big Lie. But, they were predicting gloom and doom each year, and failing most of the time.
But we’re supposed to believe them now, right?