The Environmental Insane Asylum

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Guest Post By Alan Caruba

Caruba Pci1Earth Day was declared in 1970 and for the past 45 years we have all been living in the Environmental Insane Asylum, being told over and over again to believe things that are the equivalent of Green hallucinations. Now the entire month of April has been declared Earth Month, but in truth not a day goes by when we are not assailed with the bold-faced lies that comprise environmentalism.

Around the globe, the worst part of this is that we are being victimized by people we are told to respect from the President of the United States to the Pope of the Catholic Church. Their environmentalism is pure socialism.

Organizations whom we expect to tell the truth keep telling us that “climate change is one of the biggest global security threats of the 21st century.” This was a recent statement by “world leaders” like the G7, a group of finance ministers and central bank governors of seven advanced economies, the International Monetary Fund, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United States. On April 17 they adopted a report about the “threat” put together by think tanks that included the European Union Institute for Security Studies and the Wilson Center in Washington, D.C.

When I speak of “climate” I am referring to data gathered not just about decades, but centuries of the Earth’s cycles of warming and cooling. When I speak of “weather”, the closest any of us get to it other than today’s, are local predictions no longer than a few days’ time at best. The weather is in a constant state of flux.

Climate change is not a threat and most certainly there is no global warming. As Prof. Bob Carter, a geologist at James Cook College in Queensland, Australia, has written, “For many years now, human-caused climate change has been viewed as a large and urgent problem. In truth, however, the biggest part of the problem is neither environmental nor scientific, but a self-created political fiasco.”

The fact that the Earth is now into the nineteenth year of a natural planetary cooling cycle seems to never be acknowledged or reported. “The problem here,” says Prof. Carter, “is not that of climate change per se, but rather that of the sophisticated scientific brainwashing that has been inflicted on the public, bureaucrats and politicians alike.”

In a book I recommend to everyone, “Climate for the Layman” by Anthony Bright-Paul, he draws on the best well-known science about the Earth noting that “Since there is no such thing as a temperature of the whole Earth all talk of global warming is simply illogical, ill thought out, and needs to be discarded for the sake of clarity. The globe is warming and cooling in different locations concurrently every minute of the day and night.”

“Since it is abundantly clear that there is no one temperature of the atmosphere all talk of Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) is simply an exercise in futility.” A look at the globe from either of its two poles to its equator and everything in between tells us with simple logic that being able to determine its “temperature” is impossible. The Earth, however, has gone through numerous warming and cooling cycles, all of which were the result of more or less solar radiation.

The Sun was and is the determining factor. The assertion that humans have any influence or impact that can determine whether the Earth is warmer or cooler is absurd.

The Earth had passed through warming and cooling cycles for billions of years before humans even existed, yet we are told that the generation of carbon dioxide through the use of machinery in manufacturing, transportation or any other use is causing the build-up of “greenhouse gases” in the atmosphere. We are told to give up the use of coal, oil and natural gas. That is a definition of insanity!

Here’s the simple truth that most people are not told: The Sun warms the Earth and the Earth warms the atmosphere.

As for carbon dioxide, the amount generated by human activity represents a miniscule percentage of the 0.04% in the Earth’s atmosphere. There has been more carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere—well before humans existed—contributing to the growth of all manner of vegetation which in turn generated oxygen.

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Without carbon dioxide there would be no life on Earth. It feeds the vegetation on which animal life depends directly and indirectly. As Anthony Bright-Paul says, “A slight increase in atmosphere of carbon dioxide will not and cannot produce any warming, but can be hugely beneficial to a green planet.”

The Earth’s atmosphere is approximately 78% Nitrogen, 21% Oxygen, 0.9% Argon, 0.04% Carbon Dioxide, and the rest is water vapor and trace gases in very small amounts. They interact to provide an environment in which life, animal and vegetable, exists on Earth.

When you live in a Global Environmental Insane Asylum, you are not likely to hear or read the truth, but you can arrive at it using simple logic. We know instinctively that humans do not control the waves of our huge oceans, nor the vast tectonic plates beneath our feet, the eruptions of volcanoes, the Jetstream, cloud formation, or any of the elements of the weather we experience, such as thunder, lightning, and other acts of Nature.

Why would we blindly assume or agree to the torrent of lies that humans are “causing” climate change? The answer is that on Earth Day, Wednesday, April 22, we will be deluged with the propaganda of countless organizations worldwide that we are, in fact, endangering a “fragile” planet Earth. We hear and read that every other day of the year as well.

The achievement of the human race and the last 5,000 years of so-called civilization is the way we have learned to adapt to Nature by creating habitats from villages to cities in which to survive and because we have devised a vast global agricultural and ranching system to feed seven billion of us.

As for the weather, John Christy, the director of the Earth System Science Center at the University of Alabama, says he cringes “when I hear overstated confidence from those who describe the projected evolution of global weather patterns over the next one hundred years, especially when I consider how difficult it is to accurately predict that system’s behavior over the next five days.”

“Mother Nature,” says Christy, “simply operates at a level of complexity that is, at this point, behind the mastery of mere mortals—such as scientists—and the tools available to us.”

Whether it is the President or the Pope, or the countless politicians and bureaucrats, along with multitudes of “environmental” organizations, as well as self-serving “scientists”, all aided by the media, a virtual Green Army has been deliberately deceiving and misleading the citizens of planet Earth for four and a half decades. It won’t stop any time soon, but it must before the charade of environmentalism leaves us all enslaved by the quest for political control over our lives that hides behind it.

We must escape the Environmental Insane Asylum in which they want us to live.

© Alan Caruba, 2015.  AMRCS obtained permission to re-blog this post.

CarubaAlan Caruba’s blog is a daily look at events, personalities, and issues from an independent point of view. Copyright, Alan Caruba, 2015. With attribution, posts may be shared. A permission request is welcome. Email acaruba@aol.com.

© 2015, James Covington. All rights reserved. On republishing this post, you must provide link to original post

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Ghosts of “Earth Day” Past

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 photo earth_covered_by_clouds_zps4deb8d7f.jpg
 

On this, Earth Day 2015, lets take a look back at some quotes from the very first Earth Day, in 1970.  After you’ve read even a few of these quotes, please ask yourself how we can believe anything that these same people, who now call for man-caused global warming, are saying.

“We have about five more years at the outside to do something.”
• Kenneth Watt, ecologist

“It is already too late to avoid mass starvation.”
• Denis Hayes, chief organizer for Earth Day

“Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”
• George Wald, Harvard Biologist

“The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years,” he declared. “If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

“We are in an environmental crisis which threatens the survival of this nation, and of the world as a suitable place of human habitation.”
• Barry Commoner, Washington University biologist

“Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”
• Peter Gunter, professor, North Texas State University

“Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”
• Life Magazine, January 1970

“At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

“Air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil. You’ll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, `I am very sorry, there isn’t any.’”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

“Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”
• Sen. Gaylord Nelson

“Man must stop pollution and conserve his resources, not merely to enhance existence but to save the race from intolerable deterioration and possible extinction.”
• New York Times editorial, the day after the first Earth Day

© 2015, James Covington. All rights reserved. On republishing this post, you must provide link to original post

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Natural Climate Cycles – Part 1: Short Term Oscillations

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 photo earth_covered_by_clouds_zps4deb8d7f.jpg
 

This shall be part one of a four part series, detailing natural climate cycles and how these cycles combine and/or relate, to create the overall climate, and daily weather that we observe.  Once the entire series has been completed, it will be combined into a book with some additional details and graphics added.

Before I begin, please understand the difference between weather and climate.  To get one single climate data point, requires the averaging together of 30 years of weather.  Therefor a century of weather, would contain only three climate data points and some change.  Keep this in mind throughout this multipart series.  Then when I speak of climate, you know I am referring to periods of longer than 30 years. Also by this strict scientific definition, “Global Warming” is a historic weather event, nothing more.  It lasted less than 25 years, and ended more than 18 years ago.  Therefor, it cannot fit the scientific definition of climate, at all.  This series will also discuss why there were no human causes in the past, or today.

There is one other point I’d like to make before I begin.  Wherever possible, when I use temperature or sea level charts and/or data, I will be using the raw, unadjusted data.  “Official” temperature data from NOAA and other sources has been “homogenized” or “corrected”, which I find to be very suspect, as these “adjustments” do not seem to conform to established scientific methods.  I will not use that kind of data here, unless it is to show how those “adjustments” were made.

Part One shall detail the shortest climate cycles…. those which oscillate, or cycle with a periodicity of 25 to 250 years.

Oceanic / Upper Air Oscillations

The most important cycles to our daily weather and short-term climate, are the oceanic and upper air oscillations.  Here, I will list the most prominent oscillations and how they affect what we observe, over time.

The PDO – Pacific Decadal Oscillation is a periodic oscillation in the northern Pacific Ocean.  This is quite similar to the El Nino / La Nina (ENSO) pattern in the central Pacific Ocean, but takes place in the northern Pacific Ocean, and oscillates over a period of around 25 to 35 years.  It has a warm (positive) phase, and a cool (negative) phase.  The PDO phase is a major contributor / driver of weather and short-term climate variability throughout North America and eastern Asia.  The PDO also works in tandem with the ENSO – El Nino Southern Oscillation.  When the PDO is in its warm phase, an El Nino can be stronger, such as the El Nino of 1998.  During a PDO cool phase, an El Nino tends to be much weaker if they develop much at all, but the opposite La Nina phase can be much stronger than it would be during a PDO warm phase.  Below is a graphics representation of the PDO.

PDO
positive (warm) phase . . . . . . . . . . . . . . negative (cool) phase

When the PDO is in its positive (warm) phase (at left), sea surface temperatures in the northern Pacific Ocean tend to be below normal. Across North America, temperatures tend to be above normal, with precipitation generally near or below normal.  However, areas along the Pacific coast of both North America and Asia, tend to be cooler and wetter during a PDO warm phase.

Conversely, when the PDO is in its negative (cool) phase (at right), the waters of the northern Pacific Ocean tend to be warmer than normal, and the Pacific coasts of North America and Asia also tend to be warmer and dryer.  Inland portions of North America tend to be cooler with generally above normal precipitation, especially in winter.  This can contribute to the development of blizzards which strike the central and eastern United States and southern Canada with regularity.

PDO - US Temperature
PDO / Raw US Temperature Record (click to enlarge)

The above is a graphic I put together, which shows the clear and obvious correlation between the PDO, and the raw US temperature record.  While it is not an exact match, as no single climate driver will be, it does show just how significant the PDO phase is, to our weather in the United States.  The PDO works in tandem with the next oscillation we’ll look at and discuss.

The AMO – Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation is quite similar to the PDO, but takes place in the northern Atlantic Ocean, and generally cycles with a periodicity of about 30 to 45 years.  The AMO has a major impact on temperature and precipitation throughout the Northern Hemisphere, but particularly eastern North America, and much of Europe, into western Asia.  When the AMO is in its cool phase, temperatures tend to be below normal over a wide area of the Northern Hemisphere.  Conversely, when the AMO is in its warm phase, above normal temperatures are typically observed.

AMO---US-Temperature
AMO – US Temperatures (click to enlarge)

Similar to the previous graphic, I put this together to show the obvious correlation between raw US temperatures, and the AMO phase.  The AMO phase correlates equally as well as the PDO phase does.  However, when you combine the effect of the two, this makes up about 70% of the influence on our daily weather, and short-term climate in the Northern Hemisphere.

Both the PDO and the AMO were in their warm phase for an extended period only once during the last 140 years, which was the 1930s into the early 1940s…. the time known as the “Dust Bowl”.  When both the PDO and the AMO are in their negative phase for an extended period, as occurred in the 1910s into the 1920s, and again in the 1960s and 70s, is when we get our coolest summers, and coldest winters. When one of them is in positive phase and the other in negative phase, the two rarely cancel each other out. In stead, it depends on the phase of various shorter term weather oscillations, such as the AO (Arctic Oscillation), NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation), and PNA (Pacific / North America Oscillation), which help determine which ocean’s phase is dominant in our daily weather.

As of late October of 2014, the PDO was mildly in its negative phase, and the AMO has just flipped into a weak negative phase.  Therefor, our next several years are likely to be much cooler than the past several have been.  Shorter term weather oscillations, such as the AO, NAO, and PNA, are what have pushed the so called “polar vortex” southward in the winter of 2013/14, which is likely to return in the next several winters.  The negative PDO phase has also been a significant contributor to the drought conditions in the western US.

Solar Cycles / Oscillations

Many people do not realize that our sun is actually a variable star.  Just how variable our star is over time, is a matter of some conjecture, and considerable importance to our long-term climate.  We only have sunspot records going back to the year 1610.  Prior to 1610 the solar record is reconstructed, based on ice cores, ocean bottom sediment cores, tree rings, and various other methods.  As a scientist, I prefer direct measurement methods, which involve less guess-work, and are much less open to interpretation / possible error.

In short-term climate, solar variability generally accounts for about 20% of what is observed.  In the geologic past, it may have been much higher, but this will be explained in later parts of this series.  For now, lets discuss the sunspot record that exists since 1610.

ssn_yearly
Sunspot Record since 1610 (click to enlarge)

The above graphic shows the sunspot count, since the year 1610 when direct measurement records began.  There are several features which are noteworthy in the sunspot record, which had significant impacts on our climate.  Most notable, is the clear oscillation between peak and valley in the sunspot count, which is what is commonly called the “Sunspot Cycle”.  The Sunspot Cycle is highly variable in both length (9 to 14 years), and strength, over time.  For example, when the sun goes into a period where peaks are both stronger, and closer together, as was the case in the latter half of the 20th Century, then our climate warms.  This is what was largely responsible for the period commonly called “Global Warming”.  Conversely, when the peaks are weaker and farther apart, as was the case during the “Little Ice Age”, our climate cools.  The effects of a strong solar peak are mitigated by the atmosphere’s ability to bleed excess heat off to space through convection.  Therefor the warming effects of solar peaks are of lesser importance to day-to-day weather and short-term climate, than are the effects of weaker solar activity.

Another major feature in the sunspot record is the period from about 1615 to about 1710, which is known as the Maunder Minimum.  During this period of “Solar Hibernation”, there were very few sunspots noted on the surface of the sun, and extended periods where none were noted at all.   A second, shorter “Solar Minimum” occurred between roughly 1805 and 1840, which is known as the “Dalton Minimum”.  The period from roughly 1600 to 1860 is known in climate as the “Little Ice Age”, as the effect of lower solar radiation, combined with an active period of volcanism, lead to cool summers and very cold winters throughout much of this period.  This combined effect lead to “The Year Without a Summer” in 1816 as measurable snow was observed throughout the summer months, in New England and parts of Europe.

One other item of note on the sunspot chart, is that our latest Solar Maximum was the weakest in a Century.  Many of the record cold temperatures that are now being tied or broken, were set the last time we had a Solar Maximum this weak.  Clearly, while solar variability only accounts for about 20% of our short-term climate, it can have a major impact on what we observe.

Something which goes along with this most recent weak Solar Maximum is the double-peak, with the second peak having just occurred in October and early November of 2014.  Looking back over the sunspot record, there are only two other times when a double-peak occurred similarly to what we’ve just observed.  Those two times were in 1615 as the Maunder Minimum began, and 1805 as the Dalton Minimum began.

Several scientists, such as Dr. Don Easterbrook, PhD, Piers Corbyn, and former NASA engineer John L. Casey, who has written a book entitled “Cold Sun“, have theorized that the sun is entering a new Solar Minimum similar to the Dalton Minimum, or possibly a new “Solar Hibernation” similar to the Maunder Minimum.  The current time frame of the sunspot record, is not long enough to determine if there is a possible cycle of Solar Minimum or Solar Hibernation.  Thus, trying to predict such a cycle is no easy task.  However thus far their predictions have been almost exactly accurate, making it quite likely that they are indeed, correct.  However, only time will tell.  If the sunspot count drops to almost zero and stays there, we’ll know for certain that at least a Dalton-type of Solar Minimum has begun.  Then, if it is sustained over a period of years, we’ll know it has become a Solar Hibernation.  We should know for sure within the next few years.  It should be noted, that if the sun enters a period of “Solar Hibernation”, it could have dramatic effects on human civilization.  Cool summers and shortened growing seasons could lead to significant crop losses throughout the “bread baskets” of the world.  Extremely cold winters could lead to a failed power grid, costing thousands of lives if it happens at the wrong time of year.

The Volcanism Connection

volcanoSome scientists, with which I personally agree, have hypothesized that when the sun goes into a period of Minimum or Hibernation, and infrared radiation from the sun declines, that other forms of radiation like neutrinos and cosmic rays, have a corresponding increase.  Cosmic rays are known through empirical and experimental data to increase atmospheric aerosols, which increase low level cloud cover, globally.  This increase in low clouds has the effect of reflecting sunlight, resulting in cooling of the short-term climate.  Additionally, neutrinos are believed to result in heating of the interior of planetary bodies in the Solar System.  Observations of Mercury and Mars may indicate a possible resurgence in their magnetic fields, while increased storm activity within the atmospheres of the Gas Giants and Ice Giants in the outer Solar System, also seems to point to an increase in internal heat within those planets.  Along the same lines… Earth responds to this increase in neutrinos with an increase in earthquake and volcano activity, which we are now beginning to observe.  While earthquakes have little effect on climate, volcanoes can have a major impact on climate.  The size of the impact on climate, relates directly to the size of the eruption.

Large volcanic eruptions such as Laki in 1783, Mt. Tambora in 1815, or Mt. Pinatubo in 1991, are able to spew significant amounts of sulfur dioxide, SO2, into the stratosphere.  SO2 then mixes with water vapor already in the stratosphere, to become sulfuric acid.  Sulfuric acid has the effect of blocking sunlight.  This effect when combined with reduced IR radiation from the sun, and the effect of low clouds reflecting sunlight, is what leads to periods like the “Little Ice Age”, especially during those periods when the PDO phase and AMO phase are both negative at the same time, which is what accounts for the coldest years of the “Little Ice Age”.

If temperature records went back far enough, the coldest year on record for the eastern United States would be 1784, the year after Laki erupted in Iceland.  In 1784, the Mississippi River froze over at New Orleans, and ice was observed on the surface of the northern Gulf of Mexico, while much of the eastern US had its most extreme winter recorded before, or since.  This is what happens when all of these negative feedback forces on our climate, hit us all at once.  Given recent activity of Icelandic volcanoes, with both the PDO phase and AMO phase now negative, and the sun possibly going into a phase of weaker activity, a repeat of 1784 could be on the horizon.

Coming Soon….
Natural Climate Cycles Part 2 – Millennial Cycles
Natural Climate Cycles Part 3 – Glacial Cycles and the Milankovich Cycle Theory
Natural Climate Cycles Part 4 – Deep Time Cycles

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How Do You Fix A Solar Energy Fiasco $88 Million In The Hole? Throw More Money At It!

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overgrown-solar-array

Why waste a mere $88 million, when you can waste millions more? Yup. That tri-county solar energy debacle I wrote about last week is getting a taxpayer bailout.

Three counties have a solution to salvage an $88-million-dollar solar project that went bust: borrow more millions to pump into the project and hope it will eventually turn a profit and ease the pain to taxpayers, officials said.

Some officials view the solution as damage control. Others are calling it a repeat of a mistake, one they will fight to avoid.

Freeholders in Sussex, Morris and Somerset counties will vote on settlement agreements this week that would end multiple lawsuits and get the projects back on track, officials said.

It couldn’t make money when it cost $88 million. So obviously the “solution” is to pour even more money into it!

Did these clowns fail math?

Of course they did.

In a deal that will be “nearly identical” to one in Morris and Somerset, Sussex will pump millions into the settlement and take over its part of the solar development, according officials.

Sussex plans to borrow $7 million, buying its own bonds using an emergency reserve account from the sale of a county-owned nursing home in 2012, said county officials.

In the Real World, we call that “throwing good money after bad.”

In government, they call that “Tuesday.”

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Another Of Obama’s “Green Energy” Projects Fizzles, Leaving Taxpayers $88 Million In The Hole

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overgrown-solar-array

Another green energy fail.

The concept behind the massive solar project sounded simple enough: borrow $88 million to install panels on public buildings in Morris, Somerset and Sussex counties and then sell excess electricity, using the revenues to pay off the debt.

The concept was called the “Morris model,” held up nationally as an example of how to produce renewable energy through public-private partnerships. It was the second project of its kind and the previous one was hailed as a success.

But now, nearly four years later, taxpayers could be on the hook for tens of millions of dollars the counties owe bondholders, after work ground to a halt amidst cost overruns and lawsuits.

What’s more, the $88 million that must be repaid to bondholders could cause “unmitigated disaster” to the three counties, according to court filings.

The ambitious plans called for a developer, SunLight General, to use $88 million in borrowed money to erect thousands of solar panels atop schools and other public buildings in the three counties. They would repay the counties with the future solar revenues and local governments would get cheaper electricity.

Except, and this is the key part, they weren’t actually selling electricity.

Nope, they were selling tax credits. And it turns out, the market for those tax credits dried up.

But the market for state solar-energy tax credits — a key part of the deal — plummeted in the months after the deal was struck. Cost overruns mounted, and the developer and contractor became embroiled in a dispute that ended in lawsuits, according to court papers. Work ground to a halt. And while the projects in Somerset were mostly completed, only about half were completed in two of the counties, Morris and Sussex.

Green energy is simply not viable without taxpayer subsidies. The subsidy either comes on the front-end via tax credits, or on the back-end as we see here. Either way the taxpayer is left holding the bag just so the ecotwits can smugly preen in their coal-powered Priuses.

There’s a reason private enterprise won’t build these boondoggles without government guarantees. They’re too risky, and the potential returns too meager. Remember Solyndra? Or the myriad failures of wind power?

Meanwhile environmental groups like the Sierra Club raise hundreds of millions of dollars from their deluded supporters, which they use to lobby government into wasting tax dollars on green energy. Here’s an idea. They should put up their own damn money. Pledge their $88 million instead of mine. Walk the walk. Stop blowing smoke up my ass.

They won’t, of course. Because they’re not stupid, and they know that green energy is Teh #Fail.

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Evidence: Get Used to Colder Weather – Sorry, Al!!

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Temperatures
Northern Hemisphere Temperature
It is becoming increasingly likely that we can expect at least the next few decades to be considerably colder than the last few decades have been.

With the recent cold snaps striking the central and eastern US, following the extreme winter we had a year ago, many find themselves asking “what happened to ‘global warming’?”.  Others are asking if this cold weather is here to stay, or just temporary.  This is the place to find answers, and the UN-IPCC certainly is not.  Why? Because as I spell out in this article, the UN-IPCC in its charter, defines climate change as “Changes in climate caused by human interference with atmospheric composition.” They are specifically only looking for man-made causes of climate change, and ignoring any potential natural causes.  Since the cause of this gradual decline in temperatures is entirely natural, they are not able to discuss it, if they bother to look for it at all.

As I am discussing in great detail in my recent and ongoing series on natural climate cycles, the cause of this shift toward cooler climate, is entirely natural.   The first thing we must look at to determine the cause of a shift in short-term climate, is the Sun.  Since the Sun is the source of all energy on the surface of Earth, as the Sun changes, so does our climate.

TSI and sunspots
TSI and Sunspot Count (click to enlarge)

This chart shows two very important facts about recent solar activity.  At the top is TSI, or Total Solar Irradiance.  This is a measure of all energy reaching Earth from the Sun, which is measured in Watts per square meter.  At the bottom of this chart is the sunspot count over the same period.  Again, as Ioutlined in this article, solar cycles vary in length and in strength, over time.  Solar cycles in the latter half of the 20th Century averaged about 9.5 to 10 years apart, and were quite intense.  This contributed to a period of warming.  Then solar cycles 22 and 23 were 11.4 years apart, and cycles 23 and 24 were nearly 14 years apart.  Solar cycles are getting farther apart, and each one weaker than the one before.  Solar cycle 24 was the weakest in a Century.  Even if the UN-IPCC is correct about the effects of Carbon Dioxide, it is largely irrelevant.  Its common sense, that as the amount of energy coming from the Sun declines over time, our average temperatures must surely decline.  If Carbon Dioxide is indeed an agent of warming, it can only slightly mitigate the effects of a decline in Total Solar Irradiance.

This was not unexpected.  In fact, this cooler shift in our average temperature has been predicted by myself and several other scientists, since 2006.  Source material here.  TSI and the sunspot count are not the only indicators that the Sun is going into a period of weaker energy output.  Mike Loughly, Professor at Space Environment Physics and others say that solar output is weakening faster than at any point in the last 9,000 years.  Stanford’s Wilcox Solar Observatory says the Solar Heliosphere has been weakening for the last four decades in a row.  Source material here.  The United Kingdom Office of Meteorology has stated that the Sun goes into a period of “grand solar minimum”, a period roughly a century long where solar activity is considerably weakened, roughly every 366 to 450 years.  Source material here.  The last “grand solar minimum”, the “Maunder Minimum”, began in 1615, about 400 years ago.  Clearly, this cycle is due to repeat.  These recent changes in the Sun, indicate that it may have already begun to do so.

irradiance-82744856745
Total Solar Irradiance (click to enlarge)

Here you can see Total Solar Irradiance over the last ~420 years.  The “Maunder Minimum” is very clear on this chart, from the years 1615 to 1710.  This period of “grand solar minimum” largely contributed to a colder period in climate known as “The Little Ice Age”.  It is too early to be certain that we are going to observe a repeat of “The Little Ice Age”, which lasted for nearly 600 years.  However, it is becoming increasingly likely that we can expect at least the next few decades to be considerably colder than the last few decades have been.

Another, longer term cycle which may have an impact on our average global temperatures, is a cycle of warm/cool oscillation which repeats about every 950 to 1100 years.  This cycle is clearly indicated by Antarctic and Greenland ice cores.  An example is shown below.

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5,000 Year Temperature Reconstruction

This shows a reconstruction of temperatures over the last 5,000 years.  Clearly, there are warm periods about a millennium apart, with longer periods of cooler temperatures between them.  Also, notice that since the “Minoan Warm Period” 3,500 years ago, each of these warm periods, the “Roman Warm Period”, the “Medieval Warm Period”, and the “Modern Warm Period”, have been about 1°C cooler than the one before it.  In this cycle, we have already exited the “Modern Warm Period”, that peaked around 1940, which is where this chart ends.  The cause for this cycle is still being investigated, but adding this cycle to the decline in solar activity, and the cooling effects of oceanic and upper air oscillations which also have a significant impact on our short-term climate, and it becomes highly likely that we are due to see cooler summers, and extreme winters to come.  As I detail in this article, it would be prudent to at least prepare for the possibility, despite what those who sound the global warming alarm might be predicting.  Especially considering they haven’t gotten a single prediction correct, yet.

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Obama Flushes $3 billion of Taxpayer Dollars Into A Third World Climate Change Slush Fund

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Climate change, it’s not about saving the planet. It’s about wealth transfer.

Barack Obama will announce a three billion dollar taxpayer funded US contribution to the world climate change fund.

The pledge is directed to the Green Climate Fund, a financial institution created last year by the United Nations with headquarters in Seoul, South Korea. It comes ahead of a Nov. 20 climate meeting in Berlin, at which countries have been asked to make formal commitments to the fund.

In particular, the world’s least developed economies insist that the world’s richest economies — which are also the largest greenhouse gas polluters — must commit to paying billions of dollars to help the world’s poorest adapt to the ravages of climate change.

By “adapt” they mean, of course, line their pockets with our money.

In Obama’s lefty worldview, it’s like reparations for colonialism, only better.

And $3 billion is merely the down payment.

At a 2009 climate change summit in Copenhagen, then-Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton pledged that by 2020 the United States would help mobilize $100 billion, through a combination of public aid and private investments, to flow annually from rich countries to poor countries to help the poor economies deal with climate change.

$100 billion dollars of our money. Annually. Flowing into the pockets of Third World shithole dictators everwhere! It’ll certainly change their, uh, “climate.” For the better, I’m sure.

But I guarantee it won’t do Thing One to change the weather.

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Natural Climate Cycles – Part 1: Short Term Oscillations

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This shall be part one of a four part series, detailing natural climate cycles and how these cycles combine and/or relate, to create the overall climate, and daily weather that we observe.  Once the entire series has been completed, it will be combined into a book with some additional details and graphics added.

Before I begin, please understand the difference between weather and climate.  To get one single climate data point, requires the averaging together of 30 years of weather.  Therefor a century of weather, would contain only three climate data points and some change.  Keep this in mind throughout this multipart series.  Then when I speak of climate, you know I am referring to periods of longer than 30 years. Also by this strict scientific definition, “Global Warming” is a historic weather event, nothing more.  It lasted less than 25 years, and ended more than 18 years ago.  Therefor, it cannot fit the scientific definition of climate, at all.  This series will also discuss why there were no human causes in the past, or today.

There is one other point I’d like to make before I begin.  Wherever possible, when I use temperature or sea level charts and/or data, I will be using the raw, unadjusted data.  “Official” temperature data from NOAA and other sources has been “homogenized” or “corrected”, which I find to be very suspect, as these “adjustments” do not seem to conform to established scientific methods.  I will not use that kind of data here, unless it is to show how those “adjustments” were made.

Part One shall detail the shortest climate cycles…. those which oscillate, or cycle with a periodicity of 25 to 250 years.

Oceanic / Upper Air Oscillations

The most important cycles to our daily weather and short-term climate, are the oceanic and upper air oscillations.  Here, I will list the most prominent oscillations and how they affect what we observe, over time.

The PDO – Pacific Decadal Oscillation is a periodic oscillation in the northern Pacific Ocean.  This is quite similar to the El Nino / La Nina (ENSO) pattern in the central Pacific Ocean, but takes place in the northern Pacific Ocean, and oscillates over a period of around 25 to 35 years.  It has a warm (positive) phase, and a cool (negative) phase.  The PDO phase is a major contributor / driver of weather and short-term climate variability throughout North America and eastern Asia.  The PDO also works in tandem with the ENSO – El Nino Southern Oscillation.  When the PDO is in its warm phase, an El Nino can be stronger, such as the El Nino of 1998.  During a PDO cool phase, an El Nino tends to be much weaker if they develop much at all, but the opposite La Nina phase can be much stronger than it would be during a PDO warm phase.  Below is a graphics representation of the PDO.

PDO
positive (warm) phase . . . . . . . . . . . . . . negative (cool) phase

When the PDO is in its positive (warm) phase (at left), sea surface temperatures in the northern Pacific Ocean tend to be below normal. Across North America, temperatures tend to be above normal, with precipitation generally near or below normal.  However, areas along the Pacific coast of both North America and Asia, tend to be cooler and wetter during a PDO warm phase.

Conversely, when the PDO is in its negative (cool) phase (at right), the waters of the northern Pacific Ocean tend to be warmer than normal, and the Pacific coasts of North America and Asia also tend to be warmer and dryer.  Inland portions of North America tend to be cooler with generally above normal precipitation, especially in winter.  This can contribute to the development of blizzards which strike the central and eastern United States and southern Canada with regularity.

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PDO / Raw US Temperature Record (click to enlarge)

The above is a graphic I put together, which shows the clear and obvious correlation between the PDO, and the raw US temperature record.  While it is not an exact match, as no single climate driver will be, it does show just how significant the PDO phase is, to our weather in the United States.  The PDO works in tandem with the next oscillation we’ll look at and discuss.

The AMO – Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation is quite similar to the PDO, but takes place in the northern Atlantic Ocean, and generally cycles with a periodicity of about 30 to 45 years.  The AMO has a major impact on temperature and precipitation throughout the Northern Hemisphere, but particularly eastern North America, and much of Europe, into western Asia.  When the AMO is in its cool phase, temperatures tend to be below normal over a wide area of the Northern Hemisphere.  Conversely, when the AMO is in its warm phase, above normal temperatures are typically observed.

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AMO – US Temperatures (click to enlarge)

Similar to the previous graphic, I put this together to show the obvious correlation between raw US temperatures, and the AMO phase.  The AMO phase correlates equally as well as the PDO phase does.  However, when you combine the effect of the two, this makes up about 70% of the influence on our daily weather, and short-term climate in the Northern Hemisphere.

Both the PDO and the AMO were in their warm phase for an extended period only once during the last 140 years, which was the 1930s into the early 1940s…. the time known as the “Dust Bowl”.  When both the PDO and the AMO are in their negative phase for an extended period, as occurred in the 1910s into the 1920s, and again in the 1960s and 70s, is when we get our coolest summers, and coldest winters. When one of them is in positive phase and the other in negative phase, the two rarely cancel each other out. In stead, it depends on the phase of various shorter term weather oscillations, such as the AO (Arctic Oscillation), NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation), and PNA (Pacific / North America Oscillation), which help determine which ocean’s phase is dominant in our daily weather.

As of late October of 2014, the PDO was mildly in its negative phase, and the AMO has just flipped into a weak negative phase.  Therefor, our next several years are likely to be much cooler than the past several have been.  Shorter term weather oscillations, such as the AO, NAO, and PNA, are what have pushed the so called “polar vortex” southward in the winter of 2013/14, which is likely to return in the next several winters.  The negative PDO phase has also been a significant contributor to the drought conditions in the western US.

Solar Cycles / Oscillations

Many people do not realize that our sun is actually a variable star.  Just how variable our star is over time, is a matter of some conjecture, and considerable importance to our long-term climate.  We only have sunspot records going back to the year 1610.  Prior to 1610 the solar record is reconstructed, based on ice cores, ocean bottom sediment cores, tree rings, and various other methods.  As a scientist, I prefer direct measurement methods, which involve less guess-work, and are much less open to interpretation / possible error.

In short-term climate, solar variability generally accounts for about 20% of what is observed.  In the geologic past, it may have been much higher, but this will be explained in later parts of this series.  For now, lets discuss the sunspot record that exists since 1610.

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Sunspot Record since 1610 (click to enlarge)

The above graphic shows the sunspot count, since the year 1610 when direct measurement records began.  There are several features which are noteworthy in the sunspot record, which had significant impacts on our climate.  Most notable, is the clear oscillation between peak and valley in the sunspot count, which is what is commonly called the “Sunspot Cycle”.  The Sunspot Cycle is highly variable in both length (9 to 14 years), and strength, over time.  For example, when the sun goes into a period where peaks are both stronger, and closer together, as was the case in the latter half of the 20th Century, then our climate warms.  This is what was largely responsible for the period commonly called “Global Warming”.  Conversely, when the peaks are weaker and farther apart, as was the case during the “Little Ice Age”, our climate cools.  The effects of a strong solar peak are mitigated by the atmosphere’s ability to bleed excess heat off to space through convection.  Therefor the warming effects of solar peaks are of lesser importance to day-to-day weather and short-term climate, than are the effects of weaker solar activity.

Another major feature in the sunspot record is the period from about 1615 to about 1710, which is known as the Maunder Minimum.  During this period of “Solar Hibernation”, there were very few sunspots noted on the surface of the sun, and extended periods where none were noted at all.   A second, shorter “Solar Minimum” occurred between roughly 1805 and 1840, which is known as the “Dalton Minimum”.  The period from roughly 1600 to 1860 is known in climate as the “Little Ice Age”, as the effect of lower solar radiation, combined with an active period of volcanism, lead to cool summers and very cold winters throughout much of this period.  This combined effect lead to “The Year Without a Summer” in 1816 as measurable snow was observed throughout the summer months, in New England and parts of Europe.

One other item of note on the sunspot chart, is that our latest Solar Maximum was the weakest in a Century.  Many of the record cold temperatures that are now being tied or broken, were set the last time we had a Solar Maximum this weak.  Clearly, while solar variability only accounts for about 20% of our short-term climate, it can have a major impact on what we observe.

Something which goes along with this most recent weak Solar Maximum is the double-peak, with the second peak having just occurred in October and early November of 2014.  Looking back over the sunspot record, there are only two other times when a double-peak occurred similarly to what we’ve just observed.  Those two times were in 1615 as the Maunder Minimum began, and 1805 as the Dalton Minimum began.

Several scientists, such as Dr. Don Easterbrook, PhD, Piers Corbyn, and former NASA engineer John L. Casey, who has written a book entitled “Cold Sun“, have theorized that the sun is entering a new Solar Minimum similar to the Dalton Minimum, or possibly a new “Solar Hibernation” similar to the Maunder Minimum.  The current time frame of the sunspot record, is not long enough to determine if there is a possible cycle of Solar Minimum or Solar Hibernation.  Thus, trying to predict such a cycle is no easy task.  However thus far their predictions have been almost exactly accurate, making it quite likely that they are indeed, correct.  However, only time will tell.  If the sunspot count drops to almost zero and stays there, we’ll know for certain that at least a Dalton-type of Solar Minimum has begun.  Then, if it is sustained over a period of years, we’ll know it has become a Solar Hibernation.  We should know for sure within the next few years.  It should be noted, that if the sun enters a period of “Solar Hibernation”, it could have dramatic effects on human civilization.  Cool summers and shortened growing seasons could lead to significant crop losses throughout the “bread baskets” of the world.  Extremely cold winters could lead to a failed power grid, costing thousands of lives if it happens at the wrong time of year.

The Volcanism Connection

volcanoSome scientists, with which I personally agree, have hypothesized that when the sun goes into a period of Minimum or Hibernation, and infrared radiation from the sun declines, that other forms of radiation like neutrinos and cosmic rays, have a corresponding increase.  Cosmic rays are known through empirical and experimental data to increase atmospheric aerosols, which increase low level cloud cover, globally.  This increase in low clouds has the effect of reflecting sunlight, resulting in cooling of the short-term climate.  Additionally, neutrinos are believed to result in heating of the interior of planetary bodies in the Solar System.  Observations of Mercury and Mars may indicate a possible resurgence in their magnetic fields, while increased storm activity within the atmospheres of the Gas Giants and Ice Giants in the outer Solar System, also seems to point to an increase in internal heat within those planets.  Along the same lines… Earth responds to this increase in neutrinos with an increase in earthquake and volcano activity, which we are now beginning to observe.  While earthquakes have little effect on climate, volcanoes can have a major impact on climate.  The size of the impact on climate, relates directly to the size of the eruption.

Large volcanic eruptions such as Laki in 1783, Mt. Tambora in 1815, or Mt. Pinatubo in 1991, are able to spew significant amounts of sulfur dioxide, SO2, into the stratosphere.  SO2 then mixes with water vapor already in the stratosphere, to become sulfuric acid.  Sulfuric acid has the effect of blocking sunlight.  This effect when combined with reduced IR radiation from the sun, and the effect of low clouds reflecting sunlight, is what leads to periods like the “Little Ice Age”, especially during those periods when the PDO phase and AMO phase are both negative at the same time, which is what accounts for the coldest years of the “Little Ice Age”.

If temperature records went back far enough, the coldest year on record for the eastern United States would be 1784, the year after Laki erupted in Iceland.  In 1784, the Mississippi River froze over at New Orleans, and ice was observed on the surface of the northern Gulf of Mexico, while much of the eastern US had its most extreme winter recorded before, or since.  This is what happens when all of these negative feedback forces on our climate, hit us all at once.  Given recent activity of Icelandic volcanoes, with both the PDO phase and AMO phase now negative, and the sun possibly going into a phase of weaker activity, a repeat of 1784 could be on the horizon.

Coming Soon….
Natural Climate Cycles Part 2 – Millennial Cycles
Natural Climate Cycles Part 3 – Glacial Cycles and the Milankovich Cycle Theory
Natural Climate Cycles Part 4 – Deep Time Cycles

 

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Americans Should Prepare for Winter Blackouts

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Stop.the_.EPA_-300x192Americans generally take our power grid for granted.  For most areas of the country, it has been pretty reliable over the past few decades, despite growing demands placed upon it.  However, our power grid faces many threats which could cause wide-scale blackouts…. such as EMP attack, solar storms, and aging infrastructure.  The biggest threat to our power grid, is less known to most Americans, and that threat is our very own Environmental Protection Agency.

In January 2014, Americans suffered some of the coldest temperatures ever recorded in the heartland of the United States and throughout the northeast as well, due to the supposed “Polar Vortex”.  It was during this time, that our power grid very nearly failed.  On January 7, 2014, PJM Interconnections, the Regional Transmission Organization serving areas from New Jersey to Illinois, measured a power load of almost 142,000 MegaWatts.  Eight of the top ten PJMs all-time winter power load peaks occurred in January of 2014.  It was only the heroic efforts by grid operators, which saved large parts of the nation from long-term, potentially catastrophic blackouts.  Had any one of our power plants suffered a failure during this time, the entire grid would have failed as a result.

The mainstream media only mentioned this event in passing, probably in an effort not to alarm the public, to just how close we came to real disaster.  A major and long-term blackout during winter temperatures that cold, could lead to massive casualties all across the central and eastern US, as so many families are dependent on electricity to heat their homes.

Fast forward to present-day, and the greatest current threat to our power grid, has become the EPA.  Through the MATS (Mercury and Air Toxics Standard) and CSAPR (Cross State Air Pollution Rule), the EPA’s new regulations, touted by the Obama Administration as a major step toward combating Global Warming, has forced the closure of dozens of coal-fired power plants across 37 states, resulting in a loss of power generation capacity of 72 GigaWatts, to say nothing of the $51 Billion in lost revenue per the US Chamber of Commerce as a direct result of these regulations.

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USA Weather Inc. Winter Outlook thru Jan 20 (click to enlarge)

As you can see from the above outlook, the coming winter could be at least as bad as last winter, in terms of temperatures.  This outlook is from USA Weather Incorporated, and  I collaborated heavily into its production.  Our outlook received an A- grade from an independent media source for last winter, and we have an extensive track record of accuracy.  Further information about our outlook can be found here.  Other entities such as the Old Farmer’s Almanac have published very similar forecasts.    Given the current trends, in addition to a reduced sunspot count, and increasing volcanic activity around the globe, these forecasts of colder than January 2014 temperatures this winter are likely to pan out.  Considering how close we came to disaster last winter, but having a reduced power generation capacity this winter…. our power grid is not likely to sustain the demands placed upon it.

I believe wide-scale blackouts are going to be likely, particularly from mid-December 2014 through mid February 2015.  I strongly urge all Americans in areas likely to be affected by the extreme cold this winter, to prepare for this strong possibility.  You must have alternative heat sources, food storage of at least several days, and enough clean water for that length of time, as well.  Preparation is the best chance of surviving this kind of disaster.  Then, if it doesn’t happen, at least you are prepared for any other potential disaster that may come along, such as ice storms or blizzards, which can cause significant power outages as well.

These regulations from the EPA are supposedly designed to reduce our output of Carbon Dioxide…. which is a naturally occurring trace gas in our atmosphere.  They say they believe it is a leading contributor to human-caused climate change.  In the unlikely event that they are correct about Carbon Dioxide, what they are doing amounts to potentially causing a major catastrophe in the near term, to avert a smaller potential catastrophe in the long term.  If they are wrong about Carbon Dioxide, then they’re causing a major catastrophe for no reason at all.  Either way, its utter madness!

I welcome your comments on this post….

© Copyright 2014 James Covington – American Movement to Restore Common Sense.  All Rights Reserved

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Coming Soon…. Natural Climate Cycles: A Multipart Series

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jet stream

Since the UN – IPCC and other governmental agencies have basically refused to fund or publish studies about natural climate drivers, and/or natural climate cycles, here at American Movement to Restore Common Sense, we are now working on a multipart series of articles which will detail exactly this topic.

Part 1 will detail decadal climate cycles, which take place over a 10 to 100 year time scale.  Included in this section will be oceanic and upper air oscillations such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation or PDO, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation or AMO, short term solar cycles of length and strength, and others.

Part 2 will discuss millennial climate cycles, which take place from 150 to 1250 years.  Included in this will be solar cycles and the cycle of periodic warm periods like the Minoan, Roman, Medieval, or Modern Warm Periods.

Part 3 will discuss the glacial period / interglacial period cycle, the “Milankovich Cycle Theory”, and how this cycle may affect the shorter term cycles.

Part 4 will detail the deep time, or geologic time scale cycles… which take place over millions of years.  Data about cycles of this length is somewhat limited, and primarily comes from ice cores and ocean bottom sediment cores, but is still quite useful in determining long term natural climate changes.

Part 5 will conclude the series by discussing how these cycles of differing lengths and differing influence, relate to one another.  Also included will be a discussion of greenhouse gas “theory” and how it fails to account for any of the natural climate cycles.

Summary:  Once completed, all parts will be published with links in each one to move on to the next segment.  The reader will gain a comprehensive understanding of all known natural climate cycles, and just how inadequate that the theory of anthropogenic climate change really is.  Look for it in the coming days, here on American Movement to Restore Common Sense.

© Copyright 2014 – James Covington, American Movement to Restore Common Sense.  All Rights Reserved.

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IPCC Has Become “Too Blinkered and Corrupt to Save”

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its called weatherDr. Vincent Gray, serving in his role as “climate-change activist”, has some revelations for those of us less familiar with the IPCC, or United Nations – Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.  Dr. Gray is a graduate of the University of Cambridge, with a PhD in physical chemistry.  He has published more than a hundred scientific papers and authored the book “The Greenhouse Delusion: A Critique of ‘Climate Change 2001?”.

The IPCC is a UN body that is charged with combating “global warming” by advocating the reduction of carbon dioxide and other “greenhouse gasses”.  Comprising the Panel is a mix of politicians and scientists, which publish reports on a semi-regular basis about the state of our global climate.  Dr. Gray has served as an expert reviewer on the Panel since the early 1990s.

In 1992, the Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC) definition of “climate change” was stated as being “Changes in climate caused by human interference with atmospheric composition.”  In other words, only humans could be responsible for climate-change, by their narrow-minded definition.  Dr. Gray states that “The whole process is a swindle”, in large part because the IPCC has “a blinkered mandate that excludes natural causes of global warming.”

As an expert reviewer with the IPCC, Dr. Gray knows the review process as well as anyone.  He states that he has become increasingly troubled by what he considers to be an appalling absence of real scientific rigor in the review process put into practice by the Panel.

Dr. Gray states that “Right from the beginning, I have had difficulty with this procedure.  Penetrating questions often ended without an answer.  Comments on the IPCC drafts were rejected without explanation, and attempts to pursue the matter were frustrated indefinitely.”   He also stated that “Over the years, as I have learned more about the data and procedures used by the IPCC, I have found increasing opposition by them to provide explanations, until I have been forced to the conclusion that for significant parts of the work of the IPCC, the data collection and scientific methods employed are unsound.  Resistance to all efforts to try and discuss or rectify these problems has convinced me that normal scientific procedures are not only rejected by the IPCC, but that this practice is endemic, and was part of the organization from the very beginning.”

Dr. Gray points to one story in particular as an example of the practices set forth by the IPCC.  “We are told that sea level is rising and will soon swamp all of our coastal cities.  Everybody knows the Pacific island of Tuvalu is sinking.  Al Gore told us that the inhabitants are invading New Zealand because of it.  Around 1990 it became obvious that the local tide-gauge did not agree — there was no evidence of ‘sinking’.  So scientists at Flinders University, Adelaide, were asked to check whether this was accurate.  They set up new, modern, tide-gauges on 12 Pacific islands, including Tuvalu, confident that they would show that all of them are sinking.  Recently, the entire project was abandoned as there was no sign of a change in sea level at any of the 12 islands for the past 16 years.  In 2006, Tuvalu even rose a bit.”

Other expert reviewers that are on the Panel, and scientists elsewhere around the world, share Dr. Gray’s alarm at the conduct of the IPCC.  An effort is now underway to reform the Panel and Organization as a whole, in order to have it follow real scientific methods of fact-finding and publication.  Speaking about this effort to reform the IPCC, Dr. Gray stated “The IPCC is fundamentally corrupt.  The only ‘reform’ I could envisage would be its abolition”.

I personally must agree with Dr. Gray.  The IPCC was never charged with fact-finding to begin with, unless those facts fit the initial agenda, of Anthropogenic causes of climate change.  If they do find facts to the contrary, those facts are hidden or never published, in favor of the political agenda.  No studies have ever been funded by the IPCC to determine any natural causes of climate change, including changes in solar output, which is the primary driver of our climate on Earth.  It is clear that the IPCC must be ended, as it has served to undermine the efforts of real science, trying to find real answers with regards to our ever-changing climate.

© Copyright 2014, James Covington – American Movement to Restore Common Sense

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Look Out! Climate Change Causing Shift in Earth’s Gravity, and Guam Might Tip Over!

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jet stream
Rep. Hank Johnson, please call your office.

According to the European Space Agency, Climate Change is altering the Earth’s gravitational field, which, if we’re not careful, could quite possibly disrupt the balance of, well, everything.

Gravity — yes, gravity — is the latest victim of climate change in Antarctica. That’s the stunning conclusion announced Friday by the European Space Agency.

“The loss of ice from West Antarctica between 2009 and 2012 caused a dip in the gravity field over the region,” writes the ESA, whose GOCE satellite measured the change. Apparently, melting billions of tons of ice year after year has implications that would make even Isaac Newton blanch.

To be fair, the change in gravity is very small. It’s not like you’ll float off into outer space on your next vacation to the Antarctic Peninsula.

We’ve gotta watch out! And Do Something, Dammit!. Because even minute changes in gravity could be problematic for a small, precarious island like Guam.

In a discussion regarding a planned military buildup on the Pacific island, [Rep. Hank] Johnson [D-Ga.] expressed some concerns about the plans to Adm. Robert Willard, head of the U.S. Pacific fleet.

“My fear is that the whole island will become so overly populated that it will tip over and capsize,” Johnson said. Willard paused and replied, “We don’t anticipate that.”

 

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Who knew Climate Change could be so dangerous?

As for the melting sea ice, it’s reappearing elsewhere, faster than it’s been melting.

So Guam is probably safe. For now.

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Record Cold in Peru, 250,000 Alpacas Perish: Global Warming to Blame?

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If you recall, the “science is settled,” and if you listen to the Goracle, to stave off our own impending doom, we have to live in thatch huts eating Soylent Green while he jets between his ginormous mansions.  You know, global cooling, global warming, climate change bullsh*t!

Well, apparently, the world is warming sooooo much, that Peru is freezing.  because, as we consumers of the settled science bullsh*t all know, global warming makes it cold!  Breitbart has more…

The Government of Peru has declared a state of emergency in parts of the southern Andean region of Puno after temperatures have plummeted to the coldest they have been in a decade. President Ollanta Humala announced emergency states in seven separate Puno provinces: Carabay, Sandia, Lampa, San Antonio de Putina, Melgar, Puno and El Collao. 

Not only have hundreds of families been affected, but more than 250,000 alpacas have died due to the freezing temperatures.

Now, don’t get any independent thoughts, the science bullsh*t is settled, and you must remember that warming causes cold, warming causes snow, the warming causes record Antarctic sea ice.  The warming causes the shortest Arctic summer on record.  And if you realize that the science is bullsh*t, they’ll call you a denier!

Linked by America Victorious.  Thanks!

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The Lie That Came In From The Cold

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Out In The ColdOops …

North Pole Sees Unprecedented July Cold – Arctic Sees Shortest Summer On Record (Climate Depot)

Al Gore commits seppuku; Obama calls for higher taxes to combat global cooling …

Arctic Sea Ice Melt Slowdown Begins More Than One Month Early – And Absolute Dead Media Silence On Antarctica! (No Tricks Zone)

In the second half of June, global warming catastrophe worshippers were already salivating worse than Pavlov’s dogs when Arctic sea ice melt accelerated at a dizzying rate. But in mid July, something happened unexpectedly: the North Pole saw one of its coolest summers since instrumental records have been kept, and sea ice melt also slowed down markedly, proceeding at a rate we normally only see only in the second half of August. Suddenly all the salivating among the alarmists has turned to gloom – no Arctic meltdown on which to feast upon this year.

One thing about socialists — they never fold a bad hand; they just accuse the deck of being racist:

“Call these deniers out. Hold them accountable. Ask them if they will admit climate change is a problem.” – Organizing For America (Barack Obama’s former campaign committee, now conveniently re-labeled as a non-partisan, non-profit organization)

People who oppose efforts to solve global warming will one day be loathed like racists, Al Gore said in a recent interview. Climate change skepticism must be condemned and corrected until its adherents see their folly.

… and deny any and all “inconvenient truths”:

The science is now all-but-settled on global warming, convincing new evidence demonstrates, but Al Gore, the IPCC and other global warming doomsayers won’t be celebrating. The new findings point to cosmic rays and the sun — not human activities — as the dominant controller of climate on Earth.

… because their true goal is not to combat global warming, or to protect the environment, or any of the thousand and one other causes that proliferate like kudzu vines to ensnare the idealistic, the idiotic, and the immoderate.  Their intention is what it’s always been since first codified by Karl Marx and Fredrick Engels — the destruction of capitalism.

Related articles

Original Post: Be Sure You’re Right, Then Go Ahead

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Is Support for the Big Lie Decreasing: Global Warming on the Run?

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global warming hoax

It’s the classic big lie; global warming.  It fits the classic description-tell a big lie. Keep on telling it.  Get the media and entertainment industries to repeat it.  Attack anyone who tells the truth.  Rinse and repeat as needed.

But, it seems that the truth is poking enough holes in the the global warming lie to slow it’s political progress?  Well, take a look at this, from The Commentator…

Take the myth that global warming (GW) is today a feature of current global climate activity. Whatever the reason for it, GW hasn’t been happening for 16 years – and not a single computer model predicted it. Then there is the breaking news that the global sea ice area is above normal – and that in the midst of the Antarctic summer. Not exactly been mainstream news has it? But then, as both stories run counter to the prevailing consensus and popular myth, that’s not surprising.

There’s the myth peddled by David Attenborough that polar bears are threatened by extinction when it turns out they are actually thriving; along with stories that ‘renewable’ energy is an economically viable energy-generating concept; that windmills can provide reliable, regular and cost-effective power demanded by modern grids and energy users; that electric cars make sense at all, given they can only get you from London to Oxford before their batteries expire requiring 16 hours re-charging, and … well, you get the picture.

Mind you, that the alternative media were instrumental in the propagation of all of those reports.  Without the blogs, talk talk radio, and FOX News, we’d be well on our way to living in thatch huts.

As it turns out, even what we have been sold as a climate science “consensus” per se is a myth. In truth, public-money-grubbing researchers, green social engineers, politicized UN bureaucrats and corrupt data fiddlers apart, it has always been thus. Just as the 28-Gate scandal eventually revealed the 28 ‘experts’ that advised the BBC to pin its AGW colours to the alarmist mast was nothing but a green lobby group, so the alleged climate consensus looks increasingly, er…’fracked’.

Real climate-linked scientists, including numerous meteorologists, actual climate scientists, empiricists and data observers, have always been more circumspect in their public assessments. But they are increasingly becoming downright skeptical.

A new peer-reviewed paper surveying over 1,037 engineers and geoscientists that are actually categorized under the “Comply with Kyoto” banner, confirms that while most believe global climate change is happening, only 36 percent believe the alarmist Grand Narrative that man is the chief cause.

Further, the survey researchers also found that “scepticism regarding anthropogenic climate change remains” among many actual climate scientists. They found that while 75 percent of papers published between 1993 and 2003 explicitly endorsed AGW, between 2004 and 2008 that figure had fallen to 45 percent.

So, finally, facts are beginning to prevail against the narrative.  However, there are still people in positions of influence and power that either believe the lie, or will benefit from it.  So, we should expect that the global warming lie will be in the news for some time to come.

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Hanoi John Hot Over ‘Warming’ Critics

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John F. Kerry, the not-so-swiftslanderer of U.S. troops, tax-dodgingyachtsman supreme, and — along with the despicable Jane Fonda — the best friend the Viet Cong ever had (See comment below by aJey at the Khmer connection), has reported for duty once again, this time aiming his AK at everyone who’s had the unmitigated gall to expose the global warming scam of the international socialists:

Kerry acknowledged and bemoaned the success of those who question the notion of human-induced global warming. He compared skeptics to flat-earthers and decried what he called a “concerted assault on reason.”

“Climate change, over the last few years, has regrettably lost credibility in the eyes and ears of the American people, because of a concerted campaign of disinformation – a concerted campaign to brand the concept as somehow slightlyout of the mainstream of American political thinking.” Kerry: Climate Change ‘As Dangerous’ as Iran’s Nukes and Possibility of War

There’s been a “concerted campaign of disinformation”, all right, and it’s been conducted largely by leftists specifically to further their agenda of world socialism.  It’s time to send warmist flim-flammers like Kerry their ‘Dear John’ letters. For a detailed look at the latest evidence, see Team AGW Big Lie Exposed:

Anthony Watts has just pre-released a game changing paper that he co-authored and it can be found here.  This paper has the potential to rock the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) theory and the Al Gore approved hockey stick graph to their foundations and prove that Team AGW is guilty of statistical chicanery.

The evidence for man-made global warming is spurious at best and fraudulent at worse, which is why leftists like Hanoi John now tout any and all blips in the weather as “climate change.”  After all, it’s hard to argue about a phenomena that’s been going on since the formation of the planet.  But in fact, the chances of us broiling to death or drowning in the lukewarm waves of rising oceans are a lot less likelier than the odds of a sudden and natural glaciation encasing us all in an icy tomb:

The Coming Of A New Ice Age

Contrary to the conventional wisdom of the day, the real danger facing humanity is not global warming, but more likely the coming of a new Ice Age.

What we live in now is known as an interglacial, a relatively brief period between long ice ages.  Unfortunately for us, most interglacial periods last only about ten thousand years, and that is how long it has been since the last Ice Age ended.

How much longer do we have before the ice begins to spread across the Earth’s surface?  Less than a hundred years or several hundred?  We simply don’t know.

Even if all the temperature increase over the last century is attributable to human activities, the rise has been a relatively modest one of a little over one degree Fahrenheit — an increase well within natural variations over the last few thousand years. 

While an enduring temperature rise of the same size over the next century would cause humanity to make some changes, it would undoubtedly be within our ability to adapt. Entering a new ice age, however, would be catastrophic for the continuation of modern civilization.

One has only to look at maps showing the extent of the great ice sheets during the last Ice Age to understand what a return to ice age conditions would mean.  Much of Europe and North-America were covered by thick ice, thousands of feet thick in many areas and the world as a whole was much colder.

The last “little” Ice Age started as early as the 14th century when the Baltic Sea froze over followed by unseasonable cold, storms, and a rise in the level of the Caspian Sea.  That was followed by the extinction of the Norse settlements in Greenland and the loss of grain cultivation in Iceland.  Harvests were even severely reduced in Scandinavia   And this was a mere foreshadowing of the miseries to come.

By the mid-17th century, glaciers in the Swiss Alps advanced, wiping out farms and entire villages. In England, the River Thames froze during the winter, and in 1780, New York Harbor froze.  Had this continued, history would have been very different.  Luckily, the decrease in solar activity that caused the Little Ice Age ended and the result was the continued flowering of modern civilization. (Read the rest here)

So why aren’t lefties like John Kerry and Barack Obama and Al Gore equally concerned with the near certainty of the arrival of a new ice age?  Because no amount of manufactured hysteria will be able to convince people that wealth redistribution and socialist engineering can stop a thousand-foot glacier in its tracks — and they can’t blame that on George W. Bush.

See also:

A Comment From Cambodia: “the best prove I have is he have helped vietnam won the war. Imagine, if American won the vietnam war, we will be like South Korea, Taiwan and Kuwait. Freedom for all khmer in srok khmer [Cambodia]Since Kerry and people like him helped the North Vietnam won the war, therefore, Khmer are suffering everyday. Kerry is the devil in khmer and south vietnam eyes, especially to my eyes.” – aJey, Angkor Wat

Hanoi John Kerry Threatens America’s Survival:  In his statement made under oath, Kerry claimed that U.S. soldiers were guilty of “war crimes committed in Southeast Asia, not isolated incidents but crimes committed on a day-to-day basis with the full awareness of officers at all levels of command.”  Kerry later admitted that he never personally witnessed any of these “war crimes” … Kerry said that he based his Senate testimony on the interviews which he and Jane Fonda conducted with black, American Indian and white leftist soldiers during their Winter Soldier Investigation.

30 Pieces Of Silver

Not So Swift

John Kerry Beats The Press

The Global Warming Hoax

Top Democrat Pushes Carbon Tax to Fight Global Warming & Punish US Producers

The Dog Days Of Global Warming

Original Post:  Be Sure You’re Right, Then Go Ahead

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World Enemy No. 1: Maurice Strong?

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World Enemy No. 1 _ There is a lot of competition for that title. Some names that jump to mind are Barack Obama, Bill and Hillary Clinton, George Soros, Hugo Chavez, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Ban Ki-moon and, I’m sure you could add others  to the list. But, probably none have had more global impact of Maurice Strong. A self-proclaimed life long socialist, he is often refered to as the father of international environmentalism and the father of the global warming scare and the father of the UN’s Agenda 21 and its goal of “sustainable living”.

Let’s learn more about Maurice Strong. From this source we are told that he was born in a small town in Manitoba, Canada; a child of the Great Depression. In 1947, he took a job as a junior security officer at the UN offices in New York City. The following year, at the age of nineteen, Strong was hired as a trainee by a brokerage firm where he eventually became an oil specialist. He eventually took a job with Dome Petroleum and 1956 he set up his own firm, M.F. Strong Management.  By 1976 Strong was appointed to head Canada’s newly created national oil company, Petro-Canada and later he was named Chairman of  the Canada Development Investment Corporation, the holding company for some of Canada’s principal government-owned corporations.

So, how did this entrepeneur and businessman become a rabid environmentalist? From the same source linked above we learn:

In 1971, Strong commissioned a report on the state of the planet, entitled “Only One Earth: The Care and Maintenance of a Small Planet” [11] and co-authored byBarbara Ward and Rene Dubos.

From another source we are told :

… In 1972, Strong was the secretary-general of the United Nations Conference on the Human Environment in Stockholm, Sweden. Later, he was executive director of the UN Environmental Program.

He has had other positions of influence at the United Nations, including “commissioners of the World Commission on Environment and Development, set up as an independent body by the United Nations in 1983? and senior adviser to secretary-general Kofi Annan.

Here are some quotes of Maurice Strong taken from Key.Wiki:

  • “[I am] a socialist in ideology, a capitalist in methodology
  • “[The Earth Summit will play an important role in] reforming and strengthening theUnited Nations as the centerpiece of the emerging system of democratic global governance.”
  • “The concept of national sovereignty has been an immutable, indeed sacred, principle of international relations. It is a principle which will yield only slowly and reluctantly to the new imperatives of global environmental cooperation. It is simply not feasible for sovereignty to be exercised unilaterally by individual nation states, however powerful. The global community must be assured of environmental security.”
  • “Frankly, we may get to the point where the only way of saving the world will be for industrial civilization to collapse.”

Are you beginning to see why I see this man as so dangerous? Strong is now 82 years  of age and he is not done with us yet. This story from Fox News brings ys up to date.

Maurice Strong, the godfather of global environmentalism and organizer of the  United Nations’ 1992 Rio environmental Earth Summit, is making a quiet comeback  to the limelight on the eve of that meeting’s successor, the Rio + 20 summit on  “sustainable development,” which starts June 20 in Brazil.

[…]

His appearance at Rio + 20  is also the latest stage in a Long March  through controversy that has kept Strong, a native Canadian who is widely deemed  to be one of the key instigators of the global environmental movement, living a  low-profile life in China for the past half-decade.

[…]

Nonetheless, on Monday evening, Strong was introduced as a “very special guest  of honor” at a “Corporate Sustainability Forum” organized by the U.N. Global  Compact, a corporate group that has signed onto a variety of U.N. social and  development goals. In a brief address, Strong lauded the assembled executives as  “the most important meeting of Rio + 20,” and noted the number of corporate  representatives attending from “the country where I live, which is called  China.”

“If we are going to achieve the world we want, and not just the world we are  going to get if we stay on the same course, it’s got to be led by the business  community,” he said. “The real actors, the people who are going to make the  change are the people in this room.”

I have no doubt that the corporations attending the Rio +20 summit see ways to make a tonne of money at the expense of all mankind. Here is one more Strong quote from the Fox News story:

“Rio+20 must reinforce international efforts to reach agreement and renewal of  the Climate Change Convention and its implementation,” he declared.

Yes, I do think that Maurice Strong could be one of the world’s most dangreous men.

Well, that’s what I’m thinking. What are your thoughts?

Original Post:  Conservatives on Fire

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Polar Bears Dying off? Not so Much: Another Blow to Climate Alarmists

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The longer we look at the Global Cooling Global Warming Global Climate Disruption scam, the more and more it starts to fall apart. One of the iconic images of the scam is this, featuring the poor polar bears…

You see, our selfish use of fossil fuels is casuing the ice to melt, leaving the poor, defenseless polar bears without a means to hunt.  To save these poor creatures, all we have to do is submit to the nanny state!

Well, that’s not quite the case, according to our friends to the great white north…

The debate about climate change and its impact on polar bears has intensified with the release of a survey that shows the bear population in a key part of northern Canada is far larger than many scientists thought, and might be growing.

The number of bears along the western shore of Hudson Bay, believed to be among the most threatened bear subpopulations, stands at 1,013 and could be even higher, according to the results of an aerial survey released Wednesday by the Government of Nunavut. That’s 66 per cent higher than estimates by other researchers who forecasted the numbers would fall to as low as 610 because of warming temperatures that melt ice faster and ruin bears’ ability to hunt. The Hudson Bay region, which straddles Nunavut and Manitoba, is critical because it’s considered a bellwether for how polar bears are doing elsewhere in the Arctic.

66% higher population!  Well, that really pokes a hole in the alarmist’s claims, does it not?

The study shows that “the bear population is not in crisis as people believed,” said Drikus Gissing, Nunavut’s director of wildlife management. “There is no doom and gloom.”

So, the next time some hippie claims that you’re helping to kill polar bears by refusing to make the Goracle a billionaire, just remember this post.

Oh, and what of the ice?

Well, what do you know, for the third consecutive year, the sea ice extent has increased.  Too bad for the alarmists.  Not only are the bears not dying off, but the ice they need has increased in volume!

But don’t worry, I’m sure that alarmists will just re-fudge some numbers and come back again with more, “settled science.”

Linked by the Daley Gator, Thanks! 

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