18 Insane Predictions From The Very First Earth Day In 1970


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Hat/Tip to Mark J. Perry at the American Enterprise Institute.

The sky is falling!!!

That is probably the only thing that the Climate Catastrophe Freaks didn’t say back on the first Earth Day ever. And co-incidentally here is a list of 18 of the craziest predictions that were made on that inaugural Earth Day, in 1970.

Well, it’s now the 45th anniversary of  Earth Day, and a good time to ask the question again that Bailey asked 15 years ago: How accurate were the predictions made around the time of the first Earth Day in 1970? The answer: “The prophets of doom were not simply wrong, but spectacularly wrong,” according to Bailey. Here are 18 examples of the spectacularly wrong predictions made around 1970 when the “green holy day” (aka Earth Day) started:

1. Harvard biologist George Wald estimated that “civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”

2. “We are in an environmental crisis which threatens the survival of this nation, and of the world as a suitable place of human habitation,” wrote Washington University biologist Barry Commoner in the Earth Day issue of the scholarly journal Environment.

3. The day after the first Earth Day, the New York Times editorial page warned, “Man must stop pollution and conserve his resources, not merely to enhance existence but to save the race from intolerable deterioration and possible extinction.”

4. “Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make,” Paul Ehrlich confidently declared in the April 1970 Mademoiselle. “The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”

5. “Most of the people who are going to die in the greatest cataclysm in the history of man have already been born,” wrote Paul Ehrlich in a 1969 essay titled “Eco-Catastrophe! “By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.”

6. Ehrlich sketched out his most alarmist scenario for the 1970 Earth Day issue of The Progressive, assuring readers that between 1980 and 1989, some 4 billion people, including 65 million Americans, would perish in the “Great Die-Off.”

7. “It is already too late to avoid mass starvation,” declared Denis Hayes, the chief organizer for Earth Day, in the Spring 1970 issue of The Living Wilderness.

8. Peter Gunter, a North Texas State University professor, wrote in 1970, “Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”

9. In January 1970, Life reported, “Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”

10. Ecologist Kenneth Watt told Time that, “At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable.”

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11. Barry Commoner predicted that decaying organic pollutants would use up all of the oxygen in America’s rivers, causing freshwater fish to suffocate.

12. Paul Ehrlich chimed in, predicting in his 1970 that “air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.” Ehrlich sketched a scenario in which 200,000 Americans would die in 1973 during “smog disasters” in New York and Los Angeles.

13. Paul Ehrlich warned in the May 1970 issue of Audubon that DDT and other chlorinated hydrocarbons “may have substantially reduced the life expectancy of people born since 1945.” Ehrlich warned that Americans born since 1946…now had a life expectancy of only 49 years, and he predicted that if current patterns continued this expectancy would reach 42 years by 1980, when it might level out.

14. Ecologist Kenneth Watt declared, “By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil. You’ll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, `I am very sorry, there isn’t any.’”

15. Harrison Brown, a scientist at the National Academy of Sciences, published a chart in Scientific American that looked at metal reserves and estimated the humanity would totally run out of copper shortly after 2000. Lead, zinc, tin, gold, and silver would be gone before 1990.

16. Sen. Gaylord Nelson wrote in Look that, “Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”

17. In 1975, Paul Ehrlich predicted that “since more than nine-tenths of the original tropical rainforests will be removed in most areas within the next 30 years or so, it is expected that half of the organisms in these areas will vanish with it.”

18. Kenneth Watt warned about a pending Ice Age in a speech. “The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years,” he declared. “If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”

MP: Let’s keep those spectacularly wrong predictions from the first Earth Day 1970 in mind when we’re bombarded tomorrow with media hype, and claims like this from the official Earth Day website:

 Scientists warn us that climate change could accelerate beyond our control, threatening our survival and everything we love. We call on you to keep global temperature rise under the unacceptably dangerous level of 2 degrees C, by phasing out carbon pollution to zero. To achieve this, you must urgently forge realistic global, national and local agreements, to rapidly shift our societies and economies to 100% clean energy by 2050. Do this fairly, with support to the most vulnerable among us. Our world is worth saving and now is our moment to act. But to change everything, we need everyone. Join us.

Finally, think about this question, posed by Ronald Bailey in 2000: What will Earth look like when Earth Day 60 rolls around in 2030? Bailey predicts a much cleaner, and much richer future world, with less hunger and malnutrition, less poverty, and longer life expectancy, and with lower mineral and metal prices. But he makes one final prediction about Earth Day 2030: “There will be a disproportionately influential group of doomsters predicting that the future–and the present–never looked so bleak.” In other words, the hype, hysteria and spectacularly wrong apocalyptic predictions will continue, promoted by the “environmental grievance hustlers.”

Read the full story here.





The Environmental Insane Asylum


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Guest Post By Alan Caruba

Caruba Pci1Earth Day was declared in 1970 and for the past 45 years we have all been living in the Environmental Insane Asylum, being told over and over again to believe things that are the equivalent of Green hallucinations. Now the entire month of April has been declared Earth Month, but in truth not a day goes by when we are not assailed with the bold-faced lies that comprise environmentalism.

Around the globe, the worst part of this is that we are being victimized by people we are told to respect from the President of the United States to the Pope of the Catholic Church. Their environmentalism is pure socialism.

Organizations whom we expect to tell the truth keep telling us that “climate change is one of the biggest global security threats of the 21st century.” This was a recent statement by “world leaders” like the G7, a group of finance ministers and central bank governors of seven advanced economies, the International Monetary Fund, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United States. On April 17 they adopted a report about the “threat” put together by think tanks that included the European Union Institute for Security Studies and the Wilson Center in Washington, D.C.

When I speak of “climate” I am referring to data gathered not just about decades, but centuries of the Earth’s cycles of warming and cooling. When I speak of “weather”, the closest any of us get to it other than today’s, are local predictions no longer than a few days’ time at best. The weather is in a constant state of flux.

Climate change is not a threat and most certainly there is no global warming. As Prof. Bob Carter, a geologist at James Cook College in Queensland, Australia, has written, “For many years now, human-caused climate change has been viewed as a large and urgent problem. In truth, however, the biggest part of the problem is neither environmental nor scientific, but a self-created political fiasco.”

The fact that the Earth is now into the nineteenth year of a natural planetary cooling cycle seems to never be acknowledged or reported. “The problem here,” says Prof. Carter, “is not that of climate change per se, but rather that of the sophisticated scientific brainwashing that has been inflicted on the public, bureaucrats and politicians alike.”

In a book I recommend to everyone, “Climate for the Layman” by Anthony Bright-Paul, he draws on the best well-known science about the Earth noting that “Since there is no such thing as a temperature of the whole Earth all talk of global warming is simply illogical, ill thought out, and needs to be discarded for the sake of clarity. The globe is warming and cooling in different locations concurrently every minute of the day and night.”

“Since it is abundantly clear that there is no one temperature of the atmosphere all talk of Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) is simply an exercise in futility.” A look at the globe from either of its two poles to its equator and everything in between tells us with simple logic that being able to determine its “temperature” is impossible. The Earth, however, has gone through numerous warming and cooling cycles, all of which were the result of more or less solar radiation.

The Sun was and is the determining factor. The assertion that humans have any influence or impact that can determine whether the Earth is warmer or cooler is absurd.

The Earth had passed through warming and cooling cycles for billions of years before humans even existed, yet we are told that the generation of carbon dioxide through the use of machinery in manufacturing, transportation or any other use is causing the build-up of “greenhouse gases” in the atmosphere. We are told to give up the use of coal, oil and natural gas. That is a definition of insanity!

Here’s the simple truth that most people are not told: The Sun warms the Earth and the Earth warms the atmosphere.

As for carbon dioxide, the amount generated by human activity represents a miniscule percentage of the 0.04% in the Earth’s atmosphere. There has been more carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere—well before humans existed—contributing to the growth of all manner of vegetation which in turn generated oxygen.

Without carbon dioxide there would be no life on Earth. It feeds the vegetation on which animal life depends directly and indirectly. As Anthony Bright-Paul says, “A slight increase in atmosphere of carbon dioxide will not and cannot produce any warming, but can be hugely beneficial to a green planet.”

The Earth’s atmosphere is approximately 78% Nitrogen, 21% Oxygen, 0.9% Argon, 0.04% Carbon Dioxide, and the rest is water vapor and trace gases in very small amounts. They interact to provide an environment in which life, animal and vegetable, exists on Earth.

When you live in a Global Environmental Insane Asylum, you are not likely to hear or read the truth, but you can arrive at it using simple logic. We know instinctively that humans do not control the waves of our huge oceans, nor the vast tectonic plates beneath our feet, the eruptions of volcanoes, the Jetstream, cloud formation, or any of the elements of the weather we experience, such as thunder, lightning, and other acts of Nature.

Why would we blindly assume or agree to the torrent of lies that humans are “causing” climate change? The answer is that on Earth Day, Wednesday, April 22, we will be deluged with the propaganda of countless organizations worldwide that we are, in fact, endangering a “fragile” planet Earth. We hear and read that every other day of the year as well.

The achievement of the human race and the last 5,000 years of so-called civilization is the way we have learned to adapt to Nature by creating habitats from villages to cities in which to survive and because we have devised a vast global agricultural and ranching system to feed seven billion of us.

As for the weather, John Christy, the director of the Earth System Science Center at the University of Alabama, says he cringes “when I hear overstated confidence from those who describe the projected evolution of global weather patterns over the next one hundred years, especially when I consider how difficult it is to accurately predict that system’s behavior over the next five days.”

“Mother Nature,” says Christy, “simply operates at a level of complexity that is, at this point, behind the mastery of mere mortals—such as scientists—and the tools available to us.”

Whether it is the President or the Pope, or the countless politicians and bureaucrats, along with multitudes of “environmental” organizations, as well as self-serving “scientists”, all aided by the media, a virtual Green Army has been deliberately deceiving and misleading the citizens of planet Earth for four and a half decades. It won’t stop any time soon, but it must before the charade of environmentalism leaves us all enslaved by the quest for political control over our lives that hides behind it.

We must escape the Environmental Insane Asylum in which they want us to live.

© Alan Caruba, 2015.  AMRCS obtained permission to re-blog this post.

CarubaAlan Caruba’s blog is a daily look at events, personalities, and issues from an independent point of view. Copyright, Alan Caruba, 2015. With attribution, posts may be shared. A permission request is welcome. Email acaruba@aol.com.

© 2015, James Covington. All rights reserved. On republishing this post, you must provide link to original post




Ghosts of “Earth Day” Past


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On this, Earth Day 2015, lets take a look back at some quotes from the very first Earth Day, in 1970.  After you’ve read even a few of these quotes, please ask yourself how we can believe anything that these same people, who now call for man-caused global warming, are saying.

“We have about five more years at the outside to do something.”
• Kenneth Watt, ecologist

“It is already too late to avoid mass starvation.”
• Denis Hayes, chief organizer for Earth Day

“Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”
• George Wald, Harvard Biologist

“The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years,” he declared. “If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

“We are in an environmental crisis which threatens the survival of this nation, and of the world as a suitable place of human habitation.”
• Barry Commoner, Washington University biologist

“Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”
• Peter Gunter, professor, North Texas State University

“Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”
• Life Magazine, January 1970

“At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable.”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

“Air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.”
• Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

“By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil. You’ll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, `I am very sorry, there isn’t any.’”
• Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

“Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”
• Sen. Gaylord Nelson

“Man must stop pollution and conserve his resources, not merely to enhance existence but to save the race from intolerable deterioration and possible extinction.”
• New York Times editorial, the day after the first Earth Day

© 2015, James Covington. All rights reserved. On republishing this post, you must provide link to original post




Earth Day Concert On The National Mall: Eco-Freaks Trash The Place


Global Citizen Earth Day 2015


Hat/Tip to WeaselZippers.

Well the Greenies were at it again, this time in our nation’s capitol. They attended a concert, and held a rally, and then all those Greenies went home, but were thoughtful enough to leave their trash behind. Maybe it was to remind us on the Right, just how much we hate taking care of Mother Earth.

Too bad it didn’t work, Greenies. See, us folks on the Right don’t leave our rally sites like this…


…or like this…

earth day concert 2015 002


…instead, we choose to leave the grounds where our rallies are held like this:



But I digress:

All the stars who came likely came in on planes burning a heck of a lot of fuel. DC put out advisories to watch out for the traffic jams as many cars were also being driven to the earth day event.

Then of course, when you got to go, you got to go:

earth day concert 2015 003


Tons of energy being used on the stage:

earth day concert 2015 001


The hypocrisy abounds.





Natural Climate Cycles – Part 2: Millennial Oscillations


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This shall be part two of a four part series, discussing and detailing natural climate cycles and how these cycles combine and/or interact to contribute to and/or drive the weather that we observe, over time.  Once the entire series has been completed, it will be compiled into a book with some additional details, and graphics added.

It should be noted, that much of the data used when discussing climate over this length of time or longer, is scientifically reconstructed.  Actual observations can only take us back a few hundred years.  Beyond that, methods such as: ice cores; ocean, lake, and river bottom sediment cores; tree rings; geologic evidence in rocks; and historical accounts can be used to get an indication of what climate factors were like in Earth’s past.  Some of this data is open to interpretation, but I shall attempt to use the most logical, common sense approach to interpreting such data.

Part two of this series, shall discuss natural climate oscillations that cycle with a periodicity of 100 to 10,000 years.

Solar Cycles / Oscillations

Short term solar oscillations were discussed in part 1 of this series.  However, new research indicates that longer term solar oscillations also play a significant role in our natural climate variability.  Of utmost importance, is an apparent cycle of “Grand Solar Minimum” or “Solar Hibernation“, such as the “Maunder Minimum“, which appears to cycle around every 412 years on average.  The “Maunder Minimum” began around the year 1615, or 400 years ago.  Therefor, we can assume that if this new research is correct, then the cycle is due to repeat.


The above chart shows sunspot cycle length and Total Solar Irradiance, over the last ~420 years.  TSI is a measure of energy which reaches the top of earth’s atmosphere, from the Sun.  It is measured in Watts per square meter.  The “Maunder Minimum” is clearly identified on this chart, near the left edge, as a sharp and long lasting dip in solar output.  Also of note, is the recent rise in TSI over the latter half of the 20th Century, which is largely responsible for the period known as “Global Warming“. During this time, sunspot cycles were both shorter (peaks were closer together) and more intense.

Three crucial solar oscillations can be identified by this chart.  At the top we see a ~103 year oscillation in the length of sunspot cycles from as short as 8 years, to as long as 14 years.  In the bottom chart we see the ~206 year oscillation in sunspot cycle intensity.  The intensity of solar irradiance should have peaked around the year 1800 AD, but in stead a period known as the “Dalton Minimum” occurred at this time, due to the sunspot cycles being longer / farther apart.  The entire length of this chart, signifies the ~412 year cycle of “Solar Hibernation“.  This oscillation for the most part alternates every-other trough in the ~206 year oscillation.  These oscillations then also provide the basis for a cycle of warm periods, or “climate optimums” which appear to peak every 824, 1,030, or 1,236 years.  These optimums are apparently dependent upon just how well these oscillations line up, and the effect of longer period oscillations, as well.

Millennial Cycle of Warm Periods

What exactly causes these cyclic warm periods, is still being intensely investigated.  The most logical hypothesis, assuming that each cyclic warm period happen the same way the “Modern Warm Period” did, is that it is a cyclic peak in solar activity.  A period where sunspot cycles become shorter (closer together) and more intense, as is shown above to have occurred in the late 20th Century.  Some influence may also be exerted on the Sun by neighboring stars as they rotate together around the galaxy, but confirming that hypothesis will be difficult.

Looking back farther, actual temperature measurements only go back so far, especially in the Americas, where weather stations have only been in place since the mid to late 1800s.  So, in order to see further into the past, scientists must reconstruct the temperatures based on the numerous methods available to us.  While these temperature reconstructions are fantastic tools for seeing deep into Earth’s past climate, they are somewhat open to interpretation, and different methods sometimes lead to different and occasionally even conflicting results.  Here, I shall use the most common, most trusted methods, and show what the most consistent results have been, to get a picture of natural climate cycles over the past 10,000 years, since the end of the last period of glaciation.


This chart shows the results of an ice core study from the ice sheet in northern Greenland, indicating relative temperature at that location.  Here, you can see a relatively regular cycle of “warm periods“, which occur roughly every 824 to 1,236 years. At the far left of the chart is the end of the “Younger Dryas“, where this interglacial period began in the Northern Hemisphere, which is a period also known as the “Holocene“.  Long range ice cores indicate that many interglacial periods have two temperature peaks, or “climate optimums“, and on this chart we see those peaks being at about 7,300 years ago, and 3,600 years ago.  More information about the glacial / interglacial cycle will be available in Part 3 of this series.

The peak 7,300 to 6,000 years ago is known as the “Mid-Holocene Climate Optimum“, which is believed by many scientists to be the peak of this interglacial (between glacial advances) period.  Since then, the warmest temperatures within the past 5,000 years were during what is known as the “Minoan Warm Period“, which occurred around the year 1200 BC.  Next came the “Roman Warm Period“, which peaked around time of Christ, or around 20 BC.  Then came the “Medieval Warm Period“, which peaked at around the year 1050 AD.  Finally, the “Modern Warm Period” peaked around the year 1990 AD.  At the far right of the chart, the ice core data is augmented with actual temperature observations at that location, which clearly shows the peak of the “Modern Warm Period”. The “Modern Warm Period” exactly matches the timing and scope of the Millennial warm period cycle, and also exactly matches the timing and scope of the peak in solar activity shown in Chart 2-A above.

Now, lets look back farther still, and see if these cyclic warm periods only occur during the Holocene, or if they’re a constant in climate.



This chart is formulated in much the same way as the Chart 2-B above, but goes back twice as far.  Bracketed in the top right, is the size of the 10,000 year chart in relation to the 20,000 year chart.  Here, we can see that these cyclic warm periods do indeed continue back well beyond the Holocene, into the coldest, deepest parts of the last period of glaciation. While larger forces are at play to drive the overall long term climate, the shorter term Millennial oscillation drives temperature fluctuations of about +/- 1.5°C from the mean temperature being driven by longer term cycles, that will be discussed in later parts of this series.  Each successively shorter cycle happens within the longer term cycles.

We can also see that temperatures began to warm in the Northern Hemisphere about 15,000 years ago, but then sharply fell again.  This sharp fall in temperatures around 13,000 years ago is what is known as the “Younger Dryas“.  The cause for this sharp dip in temperatures is not fully understood, and did not have the same affect in the Southern Hemisphere, as Vostok ice cores do not indicate much of a dip in temperatures during this period.  Some theories have been put forward to attempt to explain this.  The most logical of which being that the rapid melt of the Arctic ice sheets around 14,600 years ago, caused the North Atlantic Ocean to become flooded with fresh water, which then caused a shift within the Thermohaline Current, which had the result of cooling the Arctic and growing the ice sheet once again.  Some scientists have stated that this melting alone could not have caused the Younger Dryas, but perhaps some kind of asteroid impact in the Arctic may have enhanced or augmented the melting that was already underway.  This would seem to be supported by the fact that the melting after the Younger Dryas happened just as quickly, yet did not have the same affect on the North Atlantic.  In any case, the Younger Dryas is indicated in all ice cores throughout the Northern Hemisphere, so we know it happened.  The main question is how can we explain it?

Cycle of Sharp Cold Shifts

Between the Millennial Warm Periods are often lengthy periods of substantially cooler climate.  These cooler periods are likely due to reduced solar activity, as was the case during the “Little Ice Age“, which stretched from the 1200s AD to the mid/late 1800s AD, a period of around 600 years.  As indicated in Chart 2-A, the Maunder Minimum largely contributed to the coolest years of the Little Ice Age.

The cooler periods tend to last significantly longer than the dips in solar activity.  The most logical explanation for this, is that as Infrared and TSI as a whole decrease, and the sun’s heliosphere becomes weaker, galactic cosmic rays are more able to penetrate the sun’s heliosphere and reach the planets, including Earth.  Since cosmic rays are confirmed to cause an increase inatmospheric aerosols, which then lead to an increase in low clouds around the globe, this would have the affect of reflecting sunlight, and enhancing the affect of reduced solar output, which further reduces global temperatures, over time.

The cyclic periods of solar hibernation extend back beyond the Maunder Minimum.  New research suggests it is a quasi-regular oscillation of about 412 years in length.  So, lets take a closer look at more recent solar activity, and see if there are clear signs of this beginning.



The above chart shows TSI at the top, and the sunspot count over the same time frame, at the bottom.  Direct solar records began too late into the process of entering into the Maunder Minimum, to be able to do a direct comparison between then, and now.  Therefor we must assume that if the Sun is indeed entering into a new “Solar Hibernation“, we should see solar cycles getting both weaker, and farther apart, as an indication of it.  Cycle 21 and 22 were 9 1/2 years apart, which was also typical of the two cycles preceding cycle 21.  Cycle 22 and 23 were about 11 1/2 years apart.  Cycles 23 and 24 were 14 years apart.  Clearly, the cycles are getting farther apart, and that alone is enough to cause a decline in global temperatures.   The chart also indicates that each successive peak is lower than the one before it, so each is also getting weaker.  This will enhance the effect of cooling our global temperatures over time.

I outlined in this article, other factors which also indicate the existence of this ~412 year solar cycle, and what the effects may be if this cycle is repeating.

Past Affects of Climate Shifts

Human history is replete with mass migrations that are a direct result of both the Millennial warm period oscillation, and the effects of “Solar Hibernation” periods, as well.  One example is the “Great Wall of China“, which was largely built during the “Roman Warm Period”.  It has been surmised by some who study both history and climate, that the “Great Wall” was built because the Chinese knew about this temperature oscillation, and that the climate would soon cool.  The Chinese economy could not withstand being bombarded with a mass migration of the Mongols and people of the Eurasian Steppes to the north, so the “Great Wall” was built to keep them out.

The Mayan Civilization is another example.  Given their knowledge of astronomy and geography, and having such an accurate calendar system, it is quite possible that they too, knew the climate was about to change to their determent.  Having been founded just as the “Roman Warm Period” was ending, and likely knowing the Medieval Warm Period was soon to come, they abandon their magnificent cities in favor of cooler, wetter lands to the north.

The Harappan Civilization is yet another example.  The Harappans thrived in what is now northwest India and southeast Pakistan, along the Indus River, around the same time that the Egyptians were building the pyramids at Giza.  Then as the Minoan Warm Period began, the monsoon rains changed, and their entire rich civilization was lost to encroaching desert.  Like the Mayans, they too were forced to migrate northward, into the Eurasian Steppes where the climate was more suitable.

There are many other examples which serve to help confirm the results of the ice core data shown above, such as the early inhabitants of Ireland migration from what is now Libya, as the Sahara changed from savannah to desert 5,500 years ago at the end of the “Mid-Holocene Climate Optimum“, but I’ll save those for the book form of this series.

Previous parts of this series….
Natural Climate Cycles Part 1 – Short Term Oscillations

Coming Soon….
Natural Climate Cycles Part 3 – Glacial Cycles and the Milankovich Cycle Theory
Natural Climate Cycles Part 4 – Deep Time Cycles

** Data source: Lean 2000, SIDC sunspots, PMOD and ACRIM Composite TSI
*** Data source: GISP2 data set.

© 2015, James Covington. All rights reserved. On republishing this post, youmust provide link to original post




Natural Climate Cycles – Part 1: Short Term Oscillations


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This shall be part one of a four part series, detailing natural climate cycles and how these cycles combine and/or relate, to create the overall climate, and daily weather that we observe.  Once the entire series has been completed, it will be combined into a book with some additional details and graphics added.

Before I begin, please understand the difference between weather and climate.  To get one single climate data point, requires the averaging together of 30 years of weather.  Therefor a century of weather, would contain only three climate data points and some change.  Keep this in mind throughout this multipart series.  Then when I speak of climate, you know I am referring to periods of longer than 30 years. Also by this strict scientific definition, “Global Warming” is a historic weather event, nothing more.  It lasted less than 25 years, and ended more than 18 years ago.  Therefor, it cannot fit the scientific definition of climate, at all.  This series will also discuss why there were no human causes in the past, or today.

There is one other point I’d like to make before I begin.  Wherever possible, when I use temperature or sea level charts and/or data, I will be using the raw, unadjusted data.  “Official” temperature data from NOAA and other sources has been “homogenized” or “corrected”, which I find to be very suspect, as these “adjustments” do not seem to conform to established scientific methods.  I will not use that kind of data here, unless it is to show how those “adjustments” were made.

Part One shall detail the shortest climate cycles…. those which oscillate, or cycle with a periodicity of 25 to 250 years.

Oceanic / Upper Air Oscillations

The most important cycles to our daily weather and short-term climate, are the oceanic and upper air oscillations.  Here, I will list the most prominent oscillations and how they affect what we observe, over time.

The PDO – Pacific Decadal Oscillation is a periodic oscillation in the northern Pacific Ocean.  This is quite similar to the El Nino / La Nina (ENSO) pattern in the central Pacific Ocean, but takes place in the northern Pacific Ocean, and oscillates over a period of around 25 to 35 years.  It has a warm (positive) phase, and a cool (negative) phase.  The PDO phase is a major contributor / driver of weather and short-term climate variability throughout North America and eastern Asia.  The PDO also works in tandem with the ENSO – El Nino Southern Oscillation.  When the PDO is in its warm phase, an El Nino can be stronger, such as the El Nino of 1998.  During a PDO cool phase, an El Nino tends to be much weaker if they develop much at all, but the opposite La Nina phase can be much stronger than it would be during a PDO warm phase.  Below is a graphics representation of the PDO.

positive (warm) phase . . . . . . . . . . . . . . negative (cool) phase

When the PDO is in its positive (warm) phase (at left), sea surface temperatures in the northern Pacific Ocean tend to be below normal. Across North America, temperatures tend to be above normal, with precipitation generally near or below normal.  However, areas along the Pacific coast of both North America and Asia, tend to be cooler and wetter during a PDO warm phase.

Conversely, when the PDO is in its negative (cool) phase (at right), the waters of the northern Pacific Ocean tend to be warmer than normal, and the Pacific coasts of North America and Asia also tend to be warmer and dryer.  Inland portions of North America tend to be cooler with generally above normal precipitation, especially in winter.  This can contribute to the development of blizzards which strike the central and eastern United States and southern Canada with regularity.

PDO - US Temperature
PDO / Raw US Temperature Record (click to enlarge)

The above is a graphic I put together, which shows the clear and obvious correlation between the PDO, and the raw US temperature record.  While it is not an exact match, as no single climate driver will be, it does show just how significant the PDO phase is, to our weather in the United States.  The PDO works in tandem with the next oscillation we’ll look at and discuss.

The AMO – Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation is quite similar to the PDO, but takes place in the northern Atlantic Ocean, and generally cycles with a periodicity of about 30 to 45 years.  The AMO has a major impact on temperature and precipitation throughout the Northern Hemisphere, but particularly eastern North America, and much of Europe, into western Asia.  When the AMO is in its cool phase, temperatures tend to be below normal over a wide area of the Northern Hemisphere.  Conversely, when the AMO is in its warm phase, above normal temperatures are typically observed.

AMO – US Temperatures (click to enlarge)

Similar to the previous graphic, I put this together to show the obvious correlation between raw US temperatures, and the AMO phase.  The AMO phase correlates equally as well as the PDO phase does.  However, when you combine the effect of the two, this makes up about 70% of the influence on our daily weather, and short-term climate in the Northern Hemisphere.

Both the PDO and the AMO were in their warm phase for an extended period only once during the last 140 years, which was the 1930s into the early 1940s…. the time known as the “Dust Bowl”.  When both the PDO and the AMO are in their negative phase for an extended period, as occurred in the 1910s into the 1920s, and again in the 1960s and 70s, is when we get our coolest summers, and coldest winters. When one of them is in positive phase and the other in negative phase, the two rarely cancel each other out. In stead, it depends on the phase of various shorter term weather oscillations, such as the AO (Arctic Oscillation), NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation), and PNA (Pacific / North America Oscillation), which help determine which ocean’s phase is dominant in our daily weather.

As of late October of 2014, the PDO was mildly in its negative phase, and the AMO has just flipped into a weak negative phase.  Therefor, our next several years are likely to be much cooler than the past several have been.  Shorter term weather oscillations, such as the AO, NAO, and PNA, are what have pushed the so called “polar vortex” southward in the winter of 2013/14, which is likely to return in the next several winters.  The negative PDO phase has also been a significant contributor to the drought conditions in the western US.

Solar Cycles / Oscillations

Many people do not realize that our sun is actually a variable star.  Just how variable our star is over time, is a matter of some conjecture, and considerable importance to our long-term climate.  We only have sunspot records going back to the year 1610.  Prior to 1610 the solar record is reconstructed, based on ice cores, ocean bottom sediment cores, tree rings, and various other methods.  As a scientist, I prefer direct measurement methods, which involve less guess-work, and are much less open to interpretation / possible error.

In short-term climate, solar variability generally accounts for about 20% of what is observed.  In the geologic past, it may have been much higher, but this will be explained in later parts of this series.  For now, lets discuss the sunspot record that exists since 1610.

Sunspot Record since 1610 (click to enlarge)

The above graphic shows the sunspot count, since the year 1610 when direct measurement records began.  There are several features which are noteworthy in the sunspot record, which had significant impacts on our climate.  Most notable, is the clear oscillation between peak and valley in the sunspot count, which is what is commonly called the “Sunspot Cycle”.  The Sunspot Cycle is highly variable in both length (9 to 14 years), and strength, over time.  For example, when the sun goes into a period where peaks are both stronger, and closer together, as was the case in the latter half of the 20th Century, then our climate warms.  This is what was largely responsible for the period commonly called “Global Warming”.  Conversely, when the peaks are weaker and farther apart, as was the case during the “Little Ice Age”, our climate cools.  The effects of a strong solar peak are mitigated by the atmosphere’s ability to bleed excess heat off to space through convection.  Therefor the warming effects of solar peaks are of lesser importance to day-to-day weather and short-term climate, than are the effects of weaker solar activity.

Another major feature in the sunspot record is the period from about 1615 to about 1710, which is known as the Maunder Minimum.  During this period of “Solar Hibernation”, there were very few sunspots noted on the surface of the sun, and extended periods where none were noted at all.   A second, shorter “Solar Minimum” occurred between roughly 1805 and 1840, which is known as the “Dalton Minimum”.  The period from roughly 1600 to 1860 is known in climate as the “Little Ice Age”, as the effect of lower solar radiation, combined with an active period of volcanism, lead to cool summers and very cold winters throughout much of this period.  This combined effect lead to “The Year Without a Summer” in 1816 as measurable snow was observed throughout the summer months, in New England and parts of Europe.

One other item of note on the sunspot chart, is that our latest Solar Maximum was the weakest in a Century.  Many of the record cold temperatures that are now being tied or broken, were set the last time we had a Solar Maximum this weak.  Clearly, while solar variability only accounts for about 20% of our short-term climate, it can have a major impact on what we observe.

Something which goes along with this most recent weak Solar Maximum is the double-peak, with the second peak having just occurred in October and early November of 2014.  Looking back over the sunspot record, there are only two other times when a double-peak occurred similarly to what we’ve just observed.  Those two times were in 1615 as the Maunder Minimum began, and 1805 as the Dalton Minimum began.

Several scientists, such as Dr. Don Easterbrook, PhD, Piers Corbyn, and former NASA engineer John L. Casey, who has written a book entitled “Cold Sun“, have theorized that the sun is entering a new Solar Minimum similar to the Dalton Minimum, or possibly a new “Solar Hibernation” similar to the Maunder Minimum.  The current time frame of the sunspot record, is not long enough to determine if there is a possible cycle of Solar Minimum or Solar Hibernation.  Thus, trying to predict such a cycle is no easy task.  However thus far their predictions have been almost exactly accurate, making it quite likely that they are indeed, correct.  However, only time will tell.  If the sunspot count drops to almost zero and stays there, we’ll know for certain that at least a Dalton-type of Solar Minimum has begun.  Then, if it is sustained over a period of years, we’ll know it has become a Solar Hibernation.  We should know for sure within the next few years.  It should be noted, that if the sun enters a period of “Solar Hibernation”, it could have dramatic effects on human civilization.  Cool summers and shortened growing seasons could lead to significant crop losses throughout the “bread baskets” of the world.  Extremely cold winters could lead to a failed power grid, costing thousands of lives if it happens at the wrong time of year.

The Volcanism Connection

volcanoSome scientists, with which I personally agree, have hypothesized that when the sun goes into a period of Minimum or Hibernation, and infrared radiation from the sun declines, that other forms of radiation like neutrinos and cosmic rays, have a corresponding increase.  Cosmic rays are known through empirical and experimental data to increase atmospheric aerosols, which increase low level cloud cover, globally.  This increase in low clouds has the effect of reflecting sunlight, resulting in cooling of the short-term climate.  Additionally, neutrinos are believed to result in heating of the interior of planetary bodies in the Solar System.  Observations of Mercury and Mars may indicate a possible resurgence in their magnetic fields, while increased storm activity within the atmospheres of the Gas Giants and Ice Giants in the outer Solar System, also seems to point to an increase in internal heat within those planets.  Along the same lines… Earth responds to this increase in neutrinos with an increase in earthquake and volcano activity, which we are now beginning to observe.  While earthquakes have little effect on climate, volcanoes can have a major impact on climate.  The size of the impact on climate, relates directly to the size of the eruption.

Large volcanic eruptions such as Laki in 1783, Mt. Tambora in 1815, or Mt. Pinatubo in 1991, are able to spew significant amounts of sulfur dioxide, SO2, into the stratosphere.  SO2 then mixes with water vapor already in the stratosphere, to become sulfuric acid.  Sulfuric acid has the effect of blocking sunlight.  This effect when combined with reduced IR radiation from the sun, and the effect of low clouds reflecting sunlight, is what leads to periods like the “Little Ice Age”, especially during those periods when the PDO phase and AMO phase are both negative at the same time, which is what accounts for the coldest years of the “Little Ice Age”.

If temperature records went back far enough, the coldest year on record for the eastern United States would be 1784, the year after Laki erupted in Iceland.  In 1784, the Mississippi River froze over at New Orleans, and ice was observed on the surface of the northern Gulf of Mexico, while much of the eastern US had its most extreme winter recorded before, or since.  This is what happens when all of these negative feedback forces on our climate, hit us all at once.  Given recent activity of Icelandic volcanoes, with both the PDO phase and AMO phase now negative, and the sun possibly going into a phase of weaker activity, a repeat of 1784 could be on the horizon.

Coming Soon….
Natural Climate Cycles Part 2 – Millennial Cycles
Natural Climate Cycles Part 3 – Glacial Cycles and the Milankovich Cycle Theory
Natural Climate Cycles Part 4 – Deep Time Cycles




White House Memo: Don’t Mention Temperature When Discussing Global Warming


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Hat/Tip to Doug Ross @ Journal.

The temperatures aren’t rising?

Then we’ll switch to calling it “Climate Change” instead of “Global Warming.”

The temperatures STILL aren’t rising?

Er, um, don’t mention temperature when talking about Global Warming.


Yes, the Gore-distas really are that pathetic…


First rule about global warming: don’t talk global warming.

The White House quietly released a draft guidance telling federal agencies to consider the impact more carbon dioxide emissions will have on the environment, but only in terms of how much more carbon dioxide will be emitted.

When conducting environmental impact analyses on rules and projects, federal agencies should only talk about carbon dioxide emissions increases — not things like potential increases in temperature, precipitation, storm intensity and other environmental impacts that scientists warn about.

“In light of the difficulties in attributing specific climate impacts to individual projects, [Council on Environmental Quality] recommends agencies use the projected [greenhouse gas] emissions and also, when appropriate, potential changes in carbon sequestration and storage, as the proxy for assessing a proposed action’s potential climate change impacts,” the White House wrote in its guidance federal regulatory agencies conducting environmental reviews.

Why is that? Federal environmental assessments will likely show regulations have a negligible impact on the environment in terms of temperature rises, sea level rises and such — indeed if every industrialized country stopped emitting carbon dioxide tomorrow, temperatures would only be reduced 0.21 degrees Celsius by 2100.

“CEQ recognizes that many agency [National Environmental Policy Act] analyses to date have concluded that [greenhouse gas] emissions from an individual agency action will have small, if any, potential climate change effects,” the White House wrote.

Basically the White House is telling agencies not to make any predictions about how much an individual project or program will impact the environment through global warming because there’s too much uncertainty.

“In other words, it would prove that the assessment of climate change impacts of federal actions, as directed by the CEQ, to be a complete and utter waste of time,” writes Patrick Michaels and Chip Knappenberger, climate scientists with the libertarian Cato Institute.

The Cato scientists argue the White House’s order to agencies not to consider the actual environmental impacts of global warming allows the government to hide how little its actions will actually impact the climate.

Michaels and Knappenberger say climate models, which the federal government has spent billions of dollars developing, can be used to quantify the environmental impacts from higher carbon dioxide emissions.

But what the Obama administration doesn’t want you to see is just how small an impact individual federal actions will have on temperature increases, sea level rises, precipitation and other factors.

“So instead of assessing actual climate impacts (of which there are none) of federal actions, the CEQ directs agencies to cast the effect in terms of greenhouse gas emissions—which can be used for all sorts of mischief,” write Michaels and Knappenberger. “For example, see how the EPA uses greenhouse gas emissions instead of climate change to promote its regulations limiting carbon dioxide emissions from power plants.”

The EPA says its rule to cut carbon dioxide emissions from power plants 30 percent by 2030 will reduce carbon dioxide emissions by as much as 555 million metric tons per year in 15 years — sounds like a lot, but it will have a negligible impact on global temperatures.

Even if the EPA got rid of carbon dioxide from all power plants currently operating, global temperature rises by 0.03 degrees Celsius by 2100.

“Government action occurs incrementally, program-by-program and step-by-step, and climate impacts are not attributable to any single action, but are exacerbated by a series of smaller decisions, including decisions made by the government,” the White House wrote.

“Therefore, the statement that emissions from a government action or approval represent only a small fraction of global emissions is more a statement about the nature of the climate change challenge, and is not an appropriate basis for deciding whether to consider climate impacts under [the National Environmental Policy Act],” the White House added.

Read the full story here.





Freighter On Lake Erie Overcome With Global Warming: The Photos Al Gore Doesn’t Want You To See

Arthur M. Anderson stuck in global warming in the great lakes
The freighter Arthur M. Anderson is beset in ice near Ashtabula, Ohio, Feb. 19, 2015. (Photo: U.S. Coast Guard)


Hat/Tip to BFH at IOTWReport.com.

That dastardly Global Climate Warming Change is at it again. This time Global Warming is trapping ships in the Great Lakes.

Cleveland –The U.S. Coast Guard and its Canadian counterpart are working to free a 647-foot freighter that got stuck in the almost completely frozen Lake Erie Wednesday near Conneaut Harbor.

The Bristol Bay US Coast Guard Ice Breaker
The USCGC BRISTOL BAY (WTGB-102) is the second of the U.S. Coast Guard’s 140-foot icebreaking tugs and one of just two Bay-class cutters that work in conjunction with a special barge.


The Bristol Bay, a 140-foot American ice breaker based in Detroit, headed back to Cleveland early Saturday after days of trying to free the freighter from 8 to 10 feet of ice. A larger Canadian ice cutter named The Griffon was about seven miles from the freighter Saturday morning, according to Coast Guard Petty Officer Lauren Laughlin.

canadian coast guard ship ice breaker Griffon
The Canadian Coast Guard Ship Griffon, a 234-foot multi-mission medium icebreaker, breaks ice in Lake Erie en route to a rendezvous with the U.S. Coast Guard Cutter Bristol Bay, Feb. 19, 2015. (Photo: U.S. Coast Guard)

Crews were first called out about 7 p.m. Wednesday when the Arthur M. Anderson freighter became lodged in ice. It was on its way to Conneaut to pick up a load of cargo.

Laughlin said the Bristol Bay might have had to turn back today because it was low on fuel, making it lighter and therefore unable to break the ice.

Here are satellite images of some of the Great Lakes, showing how Global Warming has them in its clutches.

global warming has the great lakes in its clutches 002
A view of The Great Lakes from space. (Photo by NASA/Getty Images)





Lake Michigan
Lake Michigan on February 15, 2015. Satellite photo from NOAA website http://coastwatch.glerl.noaa.gov/


Lake Superior
Lake Superior on February 15, 2015. Satellite photo from NOAA website http://coastwatch.glerl.noaa.gov/


Lake Erie on February 15, 2015. Satellite photo from NOAA website http://coastwatch.glerl.noaa.gov/





GLSEA 001 2_15_15





How Do You Fix A Solar Energy Fiasco $88 Million In The Hole? Throw More Money At It!



Why waste a mere $88 million, when you can waste millions more? Yup. That tri-county solar energy debacle I wrote about last week is getting a taxpayer bailout.

Three counties have a solution to salvage an $88-million-dollar solar project that went bust: borrow more millions to pump into the project and hope it will eventually turn a profit and ease the pain to taxpayers, officials said.

Some officials view the solution as damage control. Others are calling it a repeat of a mistake, one they will fight to avoid.

Freeholders in Sussex, Morris and Somerset counties will vote on settlement agreements this week that would end multiple lawsuits and get the projects back on track, officials said.

It couldn’t make money when it cost $88 million. So obviously the “solution” is to pour even more money into it!

Did these clowns fail math?

Of course they did.

In a deal that will be “nearly identical” to one in Morris and Somerset, Sussex will pump millions into the settlement and take over its part of the solar development, according officials.

Sussex plans to borrow $7 million, buying its own bonds using an emergency reserve account from the sale of a county-owned nursing home in 2012, said county officials.

In the Real World, we call that “throwing good money after bad.”

In government, they call that “Tuesday.”




United States In The Iron Grip Of Global Climate Warming Change!!!

NASA’s Terra satellite captured this picture of snow across the eastern United States on Feb. 19 at 16:20 UTC (11:20 a.m. EST). Credit: NASA Goddard MODIS Rapid Response Team

Hat/Tip to Anthony Watts at Watts Up With That?

In some places the global warming is so deep that they’re piling it up and making snow forts!!!

From NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center: NASA snaps picture of Eastern US in a record-breaking ‘freezer’

NASA’s Terra satellite captured an image of the snow-covered eastern U.S. that looks like the states have been sitting in a freezer. In addition to the snow cover, Arctic and Siberian air masses have settled in over the Eastern U.S. triggering many record low temperatures in many states.

On Feb. 19 at 16:40 UTC (11:40 a.m. EST), the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instrument that flies aboard NASA’s Terra satellite captured a picture of the snowy landscape. The snow cover combined with the frosty air mass made the eastern U.S. feel like the inside of freezer. The MODIS image was created at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland.

On the morning of Feb. 20, NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center (WPC) noted, “There were widespread subzero overnight lows Thursday night (Feb. 19) extending from Illinois to western Virginia, and numerous record lows were set. Bitterly-cold arctic air is setting numerous temperature records across the eastern U.S. and will keep temperatures well below normal on Friday (Feb. 20).”

In Baltimore, Maryland, a low temperature of 1F broke the record low for coldest morning recorded at the Thurgood Marshall Baltimore Washington-International Airport.

In Louisville, Kentucky, temperatures dropped to -6F, breaking the old record low of 0F, according to meteorologist Brian Goode of WAVE-TV. Meanwhile, Richmond Kentucky bottomed out at a frigid -32F.

In North Carolina, a record low temperature was set at Charlotte where the overnight temperature bottomed out at 7F breaking the old record of 13F in 1896. In Asheville, temperatures dropped to just 4F breaking the old record of 10F in 1979. Temperature records for Asheville extend back to 1876.

Several records were also broken in Georgia, according to Matt Daniel, a meteorologist at WMAZ-TV, Macon Georgia, who cited data from the National Weather Service. Daniel said that Macon set a new record low when the temperature dropped to 18F, beating the previous record of 21F set in 1958. Athens broke a new record low, too dropping to 14F and beating the old record of 18F set in 1958/1928.

NOAA’s NPC noted that “Highs on Friday (Feb. 20) will struggle to get out of the teens from the Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic region. After Friday, temperatures are forecast to moderate and get closer to February averages as a storm system approaches from the west.”



Obama Administration Approached Disney To Use Frozen Characters In Global Warming Propaganda


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Hat/Tip to WeaselZippers.

Editor’s Note: I’m to the point with the Obama Administration that virtually NOTHING they do surprises me anymore.

Admiral Robert Papp, the U.S. special envoy to the Arctic, revealed at a conference in Norway this week he talked to Disney about using the characters from Frozen to teach kids about the Arctic climate and issues related to climate change.

Papp recalled seeing hundreds of children watching Frozen and how he was given the suggestion of how the government “might employ Disney to come up with some public service announcements… to tell the story of the Arctic” to kids.

And so Papp spoke with an executive at Disney about this very idea. The Disney exec had a very “perplexed” reaction and apparently told Papp they’re in the business of “optimism and happy endings.”

Read the full story here.





Sen. Jim Inhofe Outfoxes Dems on Climate Change in Keystone Vote

jim inhofe
Senator Jim Inhofe, R-OK

Hat/Tip to Melissa Clyne at Newsmax.

For those of us who are political junkies, or even those of us who are simply trying to keep the newly minted Republican-controlled Congress’ feet to the fire, we’ve all noticed the posts making the rounds on Facebook, and the other social media sites stating that we’ve been sold out. Headlines like, “GOP Senate votes in favor of man-made Global Warming!” have been getting lots of “likes” and “shares” along with comments that really can’t be reprinted here.

But wait, oh faithful minions of the Tea Party movement, not so fast there!

In what The Washington Post characterizes as a “nifty, if insincere, bit of politics,” Republicans successfully parsed language in an amendment to the Senate’s Keystone XL pipeline bill that stated climate change “is real and not a hoax.”

Democrats had been trying to force Republicans to state, on the record, their positions on human contributions to climate change.

In an act of chicanery, Oklahoma Sen. Jim Inhofe, who authored a book on the subject entitled “The Greatest Hoax: How the Global Warming Conspiracy Threatens Your Future,” argued in favor of the amendment, stating climate change is not a hoax.

 Senator Inhofe explained himself on the floor of the Senate.

“Climate is changing, and climate has always changed, and always will, there’s archaeological evidence of that, there’s biblical evidence of that, there’s historic evidence of that, it will always change,” Inhofe said.

“The hoax is that there are some people that are so arrogant to think that they are so powerful that they can change climate. Man can’t change climate.”

The hoax, according to Inhofe, was the idea that man was responsible for global warming.

Then, just before the vote, Sen. Inhofe tweeted this unusual message:


After the vote, when all was revealed, the Democrats walked away looking petty, and had a whole bunch of egg on their collective faces.

Democratic Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island had attached the “hoax” language to the Keystone bill.

It was expected to fail, but Republicans successfully altered the wording so that they could vote for the bill while continuing to argue that climate change was not man-made.

“With Inhofe’s re-framing the question, the Democrats, trying to engineer a gotcha moment, ended up empty-handed on the vote, with neither the satisfaction of nailing down opposition to scientific consensus and without a point of leverage for future discussions of addressing the warming planet,” according to Post writer Philip Bump.

Then, after all the hub-bub had died down a bit, Senator Inhofe went back to the Senate floor to offer a bit of context, he also made sure to get it on tape so that it could be posted on Youtube.



Out Of Top 23 Items Americans Want DC To Focus On, Global Warming Barely Makes The List


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Hat/Tip to soopermexican at The Right Scoop.

Al Gore and all his “Goredistas” continually sound the alarm that humans are killing the planet!

The only problem with that, is that hardly anyone believes them.

One of the funnier things to see is Obama and Democrats in the liberal media sound the alarm on Global Warming, when most Americans really could care less. A recent Pew poll report shows just how little they care about the issue:

The center asked a nationally representative pool of Americans which policy issues they believe should be a top priority for the Obama administration and newly appointed Congress this year. Only 38 percent of people said they thought global warming qualifies, which is almost low enough to make the issue the least important to the American public out of 23 responses. Only global trade, which 30 percent of respondents said was a top priority, was lower.

Here is the chart that shows Global Warming is second from the bottom of the list.



So the libs got caught off guard by this poll, but wait! There’s more!!

Pew also showed that Democrats don’t give a hoot about so-called “man-made global warming,” either.


Defending against terrorism, strengthening the economy and improving the job situation rank among the leading priorities for both Republicans and Democrats. But strengthening the military and reducing the deficit rate as more important for Republicans than Democrats, while improving education and dealing with the problems of the poor rank higher for Democrats than Republicans.

Read the full story here.





New Obama Administration Nutrition Guidelines: “Become A Vegan For Gaia”


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In 2015, Every time you eat a hamburger, a climate scientist cries.


Because, according to the Obama Administration, you need to go vegan, or the planet will die.

A panel that advises the Agriculture Department appears set to recommend that you be told not only what foods are better for your own health, but also for the environment. That means that when the latest version of the government’s dietary guidelines comes out, it may push even harder than it has in recent years for people to choose more fruits, vegetables, nuts, whole grains and other plant-based foods — at the expense of meat.

The advisory panel has been discussing the idea of sustainability in public meetings, indicating that its recommendations, expected early this year, may address the environment. A draft recommendation circulated last month said a sustainable diet helps ensure food access for both the current population and future generations.

A dietary pattern higher in plant-based foods and lower in animal-based foods is “more health promoting and is associated with lesser environmental impact than is the current average U.S. diet,” the draft said.

Hyperbole, it’s what’s for dinner. Maybe it tastes better than broccoli.

In case you haven’t noticed, the oceans aren’t rising, and the sea ice isn’t melting.

Nevertheless, the True Believers will not be deterred.

Their first target? Beef.

The study said that compared with other popular animal proteins, beef produces more heat-trapping gases per calorie, puts out more water-polluting nitrogen, takes more water for irrigation and uses more land.

Well, I suppose we could always Eat Mor Chikin!

Seriously though, the constant drumbeat for Globull Warming is tiresome. And every time the Obamunists come up with another hare-brained regulatory regime, more Americans inevitably lose their jobs while the rest of us end up paying higher prices for basic necessities.

Sometimes a steak is just a steak, and not a political statement, or a dagger in the heart of Mother Gaia.

Oh, by the way, guess what I’m having for dinner tonight?steak-dinner


That sound you hear? It’s Gina McCarthy’s head exploding. Yowzah!




Bad News For Al Gore: 28 In Arizona, Temps In The ’30s In Florida…Record Cold Spell All Across The U.S.

Lake-Michigan November 2014
The Frozen view of Lake Michigan and Chicago

Hat/Tip to Jon Erdman at Weather.com.

The only thing that is more mortally wounded than that bird on your Thanksgiving table is Al Gore’s Global Climate Warming Change fear factory. Record cold temperatures are being recorded all across the country. Waves of cold Arctic air are finding their way down into the “lower 48” and wreaking havoc along the way.

Record-Breaking November Arctic Cold



Long Lasting Cold

Above is a European computer model of the Arctic blasts that are reaching their way deep into the Continental United States.

With blocking high pressure aloft over eastern Alaska and northwest Canada, a direct pipeline of cold air came from Siberia to near the North Pole, then southward into Canada and the U.S., particularly the Plains and Midwest. While not as cold in magnitude, the arctic surges have also swept into parts of the East, though there was a brief mild spell in between the first two cold snaps along the East Coast.

Here is the general timing of each arctic cold surge, and when the coldest air may ease:

First arctic surge: Spread into the East last week (November 11-15).

– Second arctic surge: Blasted through the East, Midwest, and South through early Thursday (November 16-20). For parts of the mid-Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley, Tennessee Valley and the Middle Atlantic States, this was the coldest of the surges, with numerous daily record lows broken.

– Third arctic surge: Reached the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest Thursday, then slid east across the Great Lakes and parts of the Northeast on Friday. It did not press nearly as far south as the first and second surges did.

– Cold relief: Relief began in the Rockies, then expanded into the southern Plains and Southeast Wednesday and Thursday. Midwest and Northeast relief arrives this weekend.

United States Chill Map

Via Plymouth State Weather Center:


Other Cold Notables

– Burlington, Colorado, on the eastern Plains near the Kansas border, dipped to -10 Thursday, setting a new record low for the month of November.

– Casper, Wyoming, dipped to -27 at 11:59 p.m. Wednesday night, shattering their all-time November record low of -21 on Nov. 23, 1985 (records date to 1939). The temperature stayed at -27 at midnight Thursday, making it the new record low for Nov. 13 as well. Previously, the soonest Casper plunged to -27 was on Dec. 5, 1972. Casper’s high of 6 on Nov. 11 was the record earliest single-digit or colder high temperature there. (On Nov. 15, 1955, the high was only -3 degrees). Wednesday, Casper only managed a high of 3 degrees!

– Denver’s high of 6 on Nov. 12 was the coldest daily high so early in the season. Only three other November days had daily high temperatures colder in Denver, dating to 1872. Early Thursday morning, Denver chalked up a bone-chilling -14 degrees, easily the coldest temperature so early in the season. (Nov. 17, 1880 was the previous earliest such cold reading in Denver.)

– Livingston, Montana, dipped to minus 21 Wednesday, their coldest so early in the season. That said, they once dipped to minus 31 degrees just one day later in the calendar, on November 13, 1959.

– In the Southern Plains, Amarillo (21), Lubbock (27),  Childress (29) and Goodland (14) all set their coldest daily high temperatures on record for so early in the season on Wednesday.

– Riverton, Wyoming had a daytime high of 0 degrees Thursday.

– Redmond, Oregon, dropped to 19 degrees below zero Sunday morning, crushing its all-time record low for the month of November, previously 14 below zero on Nov. 15, 1955. Sunday’s low was an astonishing 23 degrees colder than the previous daily record for Nov. 16 in Redmond.

– Kansas City, Missouri set a record cool high of only 23 degrees on Monday, which beat the previous record of 24, which was set back in 1891.

– Joplin, Missouri set a record low for the month of November on Tuesday with a low temperature of 6 degrees.

– Paducah, Kentucky dropped to 10 degrees on Tuesday morning setting a record low and tying the third lowest temperature ever recorded in the month of November. The high temperature on Tuesday only reached 25 degrees, which is only the second time they have had a high that cold so early in the season.

– Valentine, Nebraska had a low of -12 on Tuesday morning, which shattered their previous record of 0.

– Dallas, Texas, saw highs of 45 degrees or colder for six consecutive days, Nov. 12 through Nov. 17. This is the longest such streak on record there in the month of November, besting a five-day streak in November 1937. (That month had a total of seven non-consecutive days with highs 45 or colder; that record still stands, for now.)

– Charlotte, North Carolina recorded a low of 14 degrees on Wednesday morning making it the coldest on record so early in the season.

– Charleston, West Virginia set a record low of 12 degrees on Wednesday, which made it the coldest on record for so early in the season.

– Macon, Georgia, plummeted to 17 degrees on Wednesday morning. Macon has never recorded a low in the teens or colder so early in the season since records began in 1892; in fact, the only other time they’ve seen teens in meteorological autumn (Sept. 1 to Nov. 30) was on Nov. 24-25, 1950, with lows of 19 and 10 degrees, respectively.

– Jacksonville, Florida dropped down to 24 degrees on Thursday morning, making it the coldest on record so early in the season. It is their third-coldest November reading on record, behind 23 degrees on Nov. 25, 1950, and 21 degrees exactly 20 years later on Nov. 25, 1970.

– South Bend, Indiana recorded eight consecutive days at or below freezing on Thursday, making it the longest streak on record for the month of November. The previous longest streaks were five days.

The Coldest Thanksgiving Since 1930?

Via WCCO Channel 4:








Manhattan Infidel Investigates Joe Biden’s Expanding Forehead: Is Global Warming, I Mean Climate Change, Responsible? Also, Where Are My Pants?

joe biden before climate change
Joe Biden Before Climate Change

Recently the political blogging community, of which I am a respected tolerated get the f*ck out of my bathroom  member has been talking about Vice President Joe Biden. Specifically his expanding forehead.

It appears that Biden’s forehead has increased in size as seen from this recent picture.

joe biden after climate change
The science is settled. Joe Biden’s forehead scares children

But why?  What could cause the Vice President’s forehead to expand so dramatically? Using available technology I have narrowed down the cause to three possibilities:

  1. Global warming, er, I mean climate change
  2. Brain steroids
  3. An unknown alien technology and/or Biden is a Decepticon.

Let’s examine the first and most likely reason:

Global Warming, er, I Mean Climate Change.

Joe Biden is 72 years old and has spent the past 40 years in public service.  He is a patriot. Like all Americans he has had to stand by helplessly as global warming, er, climate change, has threatened the very existence of Mother Earth. He has stood by as a Republican congress refused to enact the Kyoto protocols. He has had to watch helplessly as sea levels rose, threatening well-off Democrats on the coast the common man.

Having seen all this is it possible that Joe Biden, patriot, has chosen surgery to expand his forehead with the intention of relocating those whose homes are now underwater to his forehead?  Now granted those relocated would have to be shrunk down to microscopic size (that was the entire plot of Fantastic Voyage) but I’m sure Apple is working on an iShrink app as we speak.

Brain steroids

Joe Biden, rightly or wrongly does not get much respect when it comes to mental acumen. Could the jokes have gotten to him?  Is he injecting HGH and/or steroids directly into his skull to increase brain capacity? I have spoken to my sources in Washington who say this is possible. Said one:

He’s speaking in complete sentences now.  Before he would only get a few words out before he’d start drooling and ask for cookies.  But now he’s so superior. He keeps telling me that I’m ignorant and that he is angry with me.

I was able to confirm my source’s story with a camera that I planted in the White House:

Secret footage of Joe Biden at the White House

Alien Technology/Decepticons

While this is the least likely option it is one that we must keep open.  Fact: Aliens have visited this planet in the past.  Don’t believe me?  How else do you explain Carrot Top?  He’s obviously not human.


Could Joe Biden be a decepticon?  One makeup artist tells me that before applying makeup to the Vice President he looks like this:

decepticon joe biden

Joe Biden, alien?  Very possible.

And that brings me to my final point:  Where the hell are my pants?

Being an accomplished, respected professional as long as I take my medication I often am seen in public wearing pants. This morning however I was not able to find my pants and, alas, had to go pantless for the entire day.

There can be only one explanation:  My pants, frightened by global warming, er, I mean climate change, have shrunk themselves down to microscopic size and relocated to Joe Biden’s forehead.

Well played, Mr. Vice President.  Well played.




Evidence: Get Used to Colder Weather – Sorry, Al!!



Northern Hemisphere Temperature
It is becoming increasingly likely that we can expect at least the next few decades to be considerably colder than the last few decades have been.

With the recent cold snaps striking the central and eastern US, following the extreme winter we had a year ago, many find themselves asking “what happened to ‘global warming’?”.  Others are asking if this cold weather is here to stay, or just temporary.  This is the place to find answers, and the UN-IPCC certainly is not.  Why? Because as I spell out in this article, the UN-IPCC in its charter, defines climate change as “Changes in climate caused by human interference with atmospheric composition.” They are specifically only looking for man-made causes of climate change, and ignoring any potential natural causes.  Since the cause of this gradual decline in temperatures is entirely natural, they are not able to discuss it, if they bother to look for it at all.

As I am discussing in great detail in my recent and ongoing series on natural climate cycles, the cause of this shift toward cooler climate, is entirely natural.   The first thing we must look at to determine the cause of a shift in short-term climate, is the Sun.  Since the Sun is the source of all energy on the surface of Earth, as the Sun changes, so does our climate.

TSI and sunspots
TSI and Sunspot Count (click to enlarge)

This chart shows two very important facts about recent solar activity.  At the top is TSI, or Total Solar Irradiance.  This is a measure of all energy reaching Earth from the Sun, which is measured in Watts per square meter.  At the bottom of this chart is the sunspot count over the same period.  Again, as Ioutlined in this article, solar cycles vary in length and in strength, over time.  Solar cycles in the latter half of the 20th Century averaged about 9.5 to 10 years apart, and were quite intense.  This contributed to a period of warming.  Then solar cycles 22 and 23 were 11.4 years apart, and cycles 23 and 24 were nearly 14 years apart.  Solar cycles are getting farther apart, and each one weaker than the one before.  Solar cycle 24 was the weakest in a Century.  Even if the UN-IPCC is correct about the effects of Carbon Dioxide, it is largely irrelevant.  Its common sense, that as the amount of energy coming from the Sun declines over time, our average temperatures must surely decline.  If Carbon Dioxide is indeed an agent of warming, it can only slightly mitigate the effects of a decline in Total Solar Irradiance.

This was not unexpected.  In fact, this cooler shift in our average temperature has been predicted by myself and several other scientists, since 2006.  Source material here.  TSI and the sunspot count are not the only indicators that the Sun is going into a period of weaker energy output.  Mike Loughly, Professor at Space Environment Physics and others say that solar output is weakening faster than at any point in the last 9,000 years.  Stanford’s Wilcox Solar Observatory says the Solar Heliosphere has been weakening for the last four decades in a row.  Source material here.  The United Kingdom Office of Meteorology has stated that the Sun goes into a period of “grand solar minimum”, a period roughly a century long where solar activity is considerably weakened, roughly every 366 to 450 years.  Source material here.  The last “grand solar minimum”, the “Maunder Minimum”, began in 1615, about 400 years ago.  Clearly, this cycle is due to repeat.  These recent changes in the Sun, indicate that it may have already begun to do so.

Total Solar Irradiance (click to enlarge)

Here you can see Total Solar Irradiance over the last ~420 years.  The “Maunder Minimum” is very clear on this chart, from the years 1615 to 1710.  This period of “grand solar minimum” largely contributed to a colder period in climate known as “The Little Ice Age”.  It is too early to be certain that we are going to observe a repeat of “The Little Ice Age”, which lasted for nearly 600 years.  However, it is becoming increasingly likely that we can expect at least the next few decades to be considerably colder than the last few decades have been.

Another, longer term cycle which may have an impact on our average global temperatures, is a cycle of warm/cool oscillation which repeats about every 950 to 1100 years.  This cycle is clearly indicated by Antarctic and Greenland ice cores.  An example is shown below.

5,000 Year Temperature Reconstruction

This shows a reconstruction of temperatures over the last 5,000 years.  Clearly, there are warm periods about a millennium apart, with longer periods of cooler temperatures between them.  Also, notice that since the “Minoan Warm Period” 3,500 years ago, each of these warm periods, the “Roman Warm Period”, the “Medieval Warm Period”, and the “Modern Warm Period”, have been about 1°C cooler than the one before it.  In this cycle, we have already exited the “Modern Warm Period”, that peaked around 1940, which is where this chart ends.  The cause for this cycle is still being investigated, but adding this cycle to the decline in solar activity, and the cooling effects of oceanic and upper air oscillations which also have a significant impact on our short-term climate, and it becomes highly likely that we are due to see cooler summers, and extreme winters to come.  As I detail in this article, it would be prudent to at least prepare for the possibility, despite what those who sound the global warming alarm might be predicting.  Especially considering they haven’t gotten a single prediction correct, yet.




Obama Flushes $3 billion of Taxpayer Dollars Into A Third World Climate Change Slush Fund


 photo money_tree_biodiversity_zps8128b0ea.jpg

Climate change, it’s not about saving the planet. It’s about wealth transfer.

Barack Obama will announce a three billion dollar taxpayer funded US contribution to the world climate change fund.

The pledge is directed to the Green Climate Fund, a financial institution created last year by the United Nations with headquarters in Seoul, South Korea. It comes ahead of a Nov. 20 climate meeting in Berlin, at which countries have been asked to make formal commitments to the fund.

In particular, the world’s least developed economies insist that the world’s richest economies — which are also the largest greenhouse gas polluters — must commit to paying billions of dollars to help the world’s poorest adapt to the ravages of climate change.

By “adapt” they mean, of course, line their pockets with our money.

In Obama’s lefty worldview, it’s like reparations for colonialism, only better.

And $3 billion is merely the down payment.

At a 2009 climate change summit in Copenhagen, then-Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton pledged that by 2020 the United States would help mobilize $100 billion, through a combination of public aid and private investments, to flow annually from rich countries to poor countries to help the poor economies deal with climate change.

$100 billion dollars of our money. Annually. Flowing into the pockets of Third World shithole dictators everwhere! It’ll certainly change their, uh, “climate.” For the better, I’m sure.

But I guarantee it won’t do Thing One to change the weather.