I saw two polls today that have HUGE implications for both the Democrats and Republicans. Let’s take a look.
First up, Hot Air has the link to this poll from NBC and the WSJ. While it did sample more Democrats than Republicans, it could be harbinger of death for the Democrats.
Underpinning the gloom: Nearly two-thirds of Americans believe the economy has yet to hit bottom, a sharply higher percentage than the 53% who felt that way in January.
So much for the “Summer of Recovery.” When the propaganda is so separated from reality, the propaganda fails.
As in recent polls, Americans are split on President Barack Obama’s job performance, with 47% approving and 48% disapproving. But a majority disapproves of his performance on the economy. And six in 10, including 83% of independents and a quarter of Democrats, say they are only somewhat or not at all confident that Mr. Obama has the right policies to improve it. (Emphasis mine)
83% of independents? Obama needed independents to win two years ago. Remember, only 20% of the population defines themselves as liberal. They have to have independents in order to win. If this is accurate, and it holds, it might represent not only a Democratic loss in November, but a bloodbath (that one if for the libs so they can say I’m wanting to kill Democrats. Sometimes, you just gotta throw them a bone.).
On the Afghanistan war, which had been an area of strength for the president since he revamped his military strategy, 68% of Americans now feel less confident the war will come to a successful conclusion. Just 44% approve of the president’s job on Afghanistan, down from a majority who approved in March, the last time the poll addressed the topic.
I wonder if giving medals for “Courageous restraint” has anything to do with the results? Do I really need to expand on that?
I didn’t think so.
Voters appear evenly split on which party they hope will control Congress after November. But Republicans retain an advantage among those more likely to turn out. Among those most interested in the election, half favor GOP control and 39% support the Democrats. One positive movement for Democrats: That 11-point gap is down from 21 points in June.
Looking at the results, you can’t help but think that there are major problems on the horizon for the Democrats. Then, when you consider that there were more Democrats than Republicans in the poll, it looks even worse. Dems had a 9 point advantage in the poll (7, when counting “leaners”), and the results still look landslide.
Now, just when the Democrats would think that things are bad, it gets even worse. Rasmussen has also released a most telling poll.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 57% of Likely U.S. Voters think the agenda of Democrats in Congress is extreme. Thirty-four percent (34%) say it is more accurate to describe the Democratic agenda as mainstream.
Voters are more narrowly divided when it comes to the agenda of congressional Republicans. Forty-five percent (45%) of voters view the GOP agenda as mainstream, but nearly as many (40%) say it’s more accurate to call it extreme. Fifteen percent (15%) are undecided.
The Political Class, however, has dramatically different views of the agendas of the two parties from what Mainstream voters think. Ninety-one percent (91%) of the Political Class say the Democratic agenda in Congress is in the mainstream, but 70% of Mainstream voters see that agenda as extreme.
Can you spell o.u.t. o.f. t.o.u.c.h?
It’s useful to consider that Rasmussen polls ONLY likely voters. Again, this could indicate a bloodbath in November. (Twice in one post, libs…enjoy!)
OK, here is where it gets dicey. It’s been my thinking that the wins by the Democrats in 2006 and 2008 were a referendum on Bush, not the public embracing the “Obama Agenda.” After 6 and then 8 years of the GOP NOT governing with Conservative principals, and the MSM constantly bombarding the public with propaganda, the public was ready for a change. So they chose Obama. Add to that the historical nature of the Obama’s campaign, and America was ready to do something that it never had done before, the win was complete.
Then, the people got a taste of the “Obama Agenda,” and the general dishonesty and corruption of the left, discontent has grown to the point that the polling describes.
This, however, is the point of danger. The Democrats made the assumption that their wins represented a mandate (or they didn’t care-flip a coin). They made the mistake of assuming that the general public would support their agenda. The results are obvious. They wanted change, just not Obama’s “brand.” The Rasmussen polls shows that while the GOP is in much better shape than the Democrats, there is enough doubt about their agenda to cause them to make the same mistakes. The Democrats thought the US was ready for a “progressive” utopia. They were wrong. On the same token, the GOP cannot necessarily assume that the US is ready to shed all of Fedzilla, at least not yet.
All of this leaves us with a job: education. We have to do a great job explaining our ideas, and why they are not only what the founders envisioned, but that they actually WORK. I know for myself, I’ve spent much of my time ripping the plans of the other side. I’ve not spent enough time discussing why small government, local control, free markets, and all the rest, work. It’s out there. All the evidence that we ever needed is right there. It’s abundantly clear. We need to move forward, but we have to explain the “why” of it, and they display the positive results.
I believe that we will have a fight on our hands. The “progressives,” the MSM, the Unions, and the like, will all try to stop us. However, we have reality on our side. And after Obama’s policies have completely failed, we can reach out to a public that is more ready to embrace those truths.
Update: This one is HUGE.
In every week of his presidency until now, Barack Obama has enjoyed a majority approval rating in the Gallup Poll from people earning les s than $2,000 per month. But that changed in the Gallup survey conducted from Aug. 2-8, when only 49 percent of Americans in that income bracket said they approve of the job Obama is doing.
In a poll released today, Gallup asked Americans that they thought was the most important problem facing the country. The top two problems cited were the economy in general and unemployment and jobs. Thirty percent said the economy in general was the most important problem, while 28 percent said it was unemployment and jobs.
This is one of the core constituencies of the Democrats. It would appear that even the dependent classes are starting to turn on Obama. Should I say potential bloodbath again?